⚽ Championship

Middlesbrough vs West Brom Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Middlesbrough vs West Brom in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Middlesbrough face West Brom in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Middlesbrough have 1 win from their last 5, while West Brom have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, Middlesbrough won 3, West Brom won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.1-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Middlesbrough vs West Brom with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

79%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.15 – 1.19 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.6%	11.5%	6.8%	2.7%	0.8%
1	11.1%	13.2%	7.8%	3.1%	0.9%
2	6.4%	7.6%	4.5%	1.8%	0.5%
3	2.4%	2.9%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Middlesbrough winDrawWest Brom win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Middlesbrough vs West Brom is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a Middlesbrough win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is West Brom or Draw at odds 2.00 (+26.0% model value).

Best value

West Brom or Draw at odds 2.00, 63% model probability, +26.0% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Middlesbrough 36%Draw 29%West Brom 35%

36%29%35%

36%

Middlesbrough Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

+26.0%

Best value: West Brom or Draw

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between Middlesbrough and West Brom. Wins shown from Middlesbrough’s perspective: Middlesbrough 3 · West Brom 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-01-21	Middlesbrough	2 – 0	West Brom	W
2024-10-01	West Brom	0 – 1	Middlesbrough	W
2023-12-23	Middlesbrough	1 – 0	West Brom	W
2023-08-26	West Brom	4 – 2	Middlesbrough	L

📈 Recent form

Middlesbrough

Middlesbrough come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Lincoln. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Blackburn.

LBlackburn 2-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
WMiddlesbrough 2-1 LincolnChampionship
WMiddlesbrough 1-0 WrexhamLeague Cup
DMiddlesbrough 3-3 EspanyolFriendlies Clubs
DCeltic 1-1 MiddlesbroughFriendlies Clubs

West Brom

West Brom come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 16 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Rotherham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WNorwich 1-2 West BromChampionship
WRotherham 1-4 West BromLeague Cup
WPeterborough 0-2 West BromFriendlies Clubs
WShrewsbury 1-4 West BromFriendlies Clubs
WWest Brom 4-1 BromleyFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Middlesbrough at 36% to win and West Brom at 35%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
West Brom Win	35%	@ 4.70	+65.1%
Draw	29%	@ 3.55	+4.0%
Middlesbrough Win	36%	@ 1.74	-38.1%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Brom or Draw at 2.00 (63% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
West Brom or Draw	63%	@ 2.00	+26.0%
Middlesbrough or Draw	63%	@ 1.18	-25.1%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	32%	@ 3.55	+14.2%
Under 2.5	58%	@ 1.93	+13.0%
Under 3.5	79%	@ 1.35	+6.8%
Over 1.5	68%	@ 1.28	-13.2%
Over 2.5	42%	@ 1.85	-23.3%
Over 3.5	21%	@ 3.10	-35.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	52%	@ 2.00	+3.9%
BTTS Yes	48%	@ 1.77	-15.0%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Middlesbrough vs West Brom?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is West Brom or Draw at 2.00 (+26.0% value).

Who is the favourite for Middlesbrough vs West Brom?

Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.1-1.2 scoreline for Middlesbrough vs West Brom.

What is the predicted score for Middlesbrough vs West Brom?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.15 for Middlesbrough and 1.19 for West Brom. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Middlesbrough and West Brom play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.