vs
⚽ Ligue 2
Nancy vs Dunkerque Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nancy vs Dunkerque in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Nancy 2-0 Dunkerque
Nancy vs Dunkerque finished 2-0. Nancy won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Dunkerque Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at 1.39, did not land.
Nancy face Dunkerque in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Nancy won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Dunkerque win the most likely result at 59%, projecting a 1.8-3.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nancy vs Dunkerque with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.6% |
| 1 | 1.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| 2 | 1.4% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% |
| 3 | 0.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% |
| 4 | 0.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nancy vs Dunkerque is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Dunkerque Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Dunkerque win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 59%. Goals lean over 2.5 (86%), both teams to score points yes (79%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Dunkerque win at odds 2.70 (+59.9% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Nancy and Dunkerque. Wins shown from Nancy’s perspective: Nancy 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-28 | Nancy | 2 – 0 | Dunkerque | W |
| 2026-05-09 | Nancy | 3 – 2 | Dunkerque | W |
📈 Recent form
Nancy come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Montpellier.
- WNancy 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
- WPAU 0-1 NancyLigue 2
- LNancy 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2
- DBoulogne 0-0 NancyLigue 2
- DNancy 2-2 DijonFriendlies Clubs
Dunkerque come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-2 at home to Grenoble. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Nancy.
- LNancy 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
- LDunkerque 0-1 MontpellierLigue 2
- DReims 3-3 DunkerqueLigue 2
- WDunkerque 4-2 GrenobleLigue 2
- DKV Mechelen 0-0 DunkerqueFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nancy at 23% to win and Dunkerque at 59%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Dunkerque win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque Win | 59% | @ 2.70 | +59.9% |
| Draw | 18% | @ 3.27 | -40.7% |
| Nancy Win | 23% | @ 2.48 | -43.7% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Dunkerque or Draw at 1.49 (80% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque or Draw | 80% | @ 1.49 | +19.0% |
| Nancy or Draw | 44% | @ 1.42 | -38.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-3.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 86% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 71% | @ 3.10 | +118.8% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | @ 1.85 | +59.0% |
| Over 1.5 | 95% | @ 1.26 | +19.7% |
| Under 3.5 | 29% | @ 1.35 | -60.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 14% | @ 1.92 | -72.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 79%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 79% | @ 1.64 | +29.2% |
| BTTS No | 21% | @ 2.09 | -55.6% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Nancy or Dunkerque is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dunkerque -1.75 | 28% | @ 7.00 | +92.7% |
| Dunkerque -1.25 | 38% | @ 5.00 | +90.2% |
| Dunkerque -1.5 | 32% | @ 5.50 | +75.4% |
| Dunkerque -0.75 | 50% | @ 3.40 | +71.4% |
| Dunkerque -0.5 | 56% | @ 2.66 | +50.1% |
| Dunkerque -0.25 | 62% | @ 2.40 | +50.0% |
| Dunkerque 0 | 68% | @ 2.01 | +36.8% |
| Dunkerque +0.25 | 74% | @ 1.72 | +27.3% |
| Dunkerque +0.5 | 80% | @ 1.52 | +21.1% |
| Dunkerque +0.75 | 83% | @ 1.39 | +15.6% |
| Dunkerque +1.5 | 93% | @ 1.18 | +9.9% |
| Dunkerque +1.25 | 90% | @ 1.20 | +7.8% |
| Dunkerque +1 | 86% | @ 1.25 | +7.7% |
| Dunkerque +1.75 | 94% | @ 1.12 | +5.7% |
| Nancy +1.75 | 72% | 1.10 | -20.3% |
| Nancy +1.5 | 68% | 1.15 | -21.7% |
| Nancy +1.25 | 62% | 1.17 | -27.5% |
| Nancy +1 | 56% | 1.19 | -33.6% |
| Nancy +0.75 | 50% | 1.32 | -34.5% |
| Nancy +0.5 | 44% | 1.45 | -36.8% |
| Nancy +0.25 | 38% | 1.58 | -40.5% |
| Nancy 0 | 32% | 1.80 | -42.6% |
| Nancy -0.25 | 26% | 2.12 | -44.8% |
| Nancy -1 | 14% | 3.98 | -46.2% |
| Nancy -0.75 | 17% | 3.00 | -49.5% |
| Nancy -0.5 | 20% | 2.45 | -50.6% |
| Nancy -1.25 | 10% | 4.40 | -55.2% |
| Nancy -1.75 | 6% | 6.40 | -64.1% |
| Nancy -1.5 | 7% | 4.80 | -67.0% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nancy vs Dunkerque?
Our main pick is Dunkerque Asian Handicap with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with 83% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Dunkerque win at 2.70 (+59.9% value).
Who is the favourite for Nancy vs Dunkerque?
Our model makes a Dunkerque win the most likely result at 59%. It projects an expected 1.8-3.0 scoreline for Nancy vs Dunkerque.
What is the predicted score for Nancy vs Dunkerque?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.84 for Nancy and 2.97 for Dunkerque. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nancy and Dunkerque play?
Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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