Nantes

Sat 22 Aug2-5Finished

Rodez

⚽ Ligue 2

Nantes vs Rodez Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nantes vs Rodez in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Nantes 2-5 Rodez

Nantes vs Rodez finished 2-5. Rodez won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Nantes face Rodez in the Ligue 2, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nantes vs Rodez with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

86%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.14 – 0.84 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.8%	11.6%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%
1	15.7%	13.2%	5.6%	1.6%	0.3%
2	9.0%	7.5%	3.2%	0.9%	0.2%
3	3.4%	2.9%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%
4	1.0%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Nantes winDrawRodez win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Nantes vs Rodez comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 86% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points no (61%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

68%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Nantes

Nantes come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Boulogne. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sochaux.

WBoulogne 1-2 NantesLigue 2
LSochaux 1-0 NantesLigue 2
WNantes 1-0 NancyLigue 2
DGuingamp 3-3 NantesLigue 2
LNantes 2-5 RodezLigue 2

Rodez

Rodez come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Nantes. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Nancy.

LRodez 3-4 NancyLigue 2
LRodez 0-1 GrenobleLigue 2
LMetz 4-1 RodezLigue 2
DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
WNantes 2-5 RodezLigue 2

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nantes or Draw at 1.18 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nantes or Draw	71%	77%	@ 1.18
Rodez or Draw	55%	48%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.1-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	86%	68%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	68%	48%	@ 1.93
Over 1.5	59%	75%	@ 1.23
Under 1.5	41%	25%	@ 3.65
Over 2.5	32%	52%	@ 1.75
Over 3.5	14%	32%	@ 2.85

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	61%	46%	@ 1.98
BTTS Yes	39%	54%	@ 1.68

📈 How the market moved

Nantes 52%Draw 25%Rodez 22%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Nantes vs Rodez?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 86% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

What is the predicted score for Nantes vs Rodez?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.14 for Nantes and 0.84 for Rodez. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Nantes and Rodez play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 12:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.