vs
⚽ Premier League
Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Nottingham Forest face Tottenham in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Nottingham Forest have 0 wins from their last 5, while Tottenham have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Nottingham Forest won 4, Tottenham won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nottingham Forest win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 11.7% | 7.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 9.1% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Nottingham Forest win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 2.00 (+7.5% model value).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Nottingham Forest and Tottenham. Wins shown from Nottingham Forest’s perspective: Nottingham Forest 4 · Tottenham 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-22 | Tottenham | 0 – 3 | Nottingham Forest | W |
| 2025-12-14 | Nottingham Forest | 3 – 0 | Tottenham | W |
| 2025-04-21 | Tottenham | 1 – 2 | Nottingham Forest | W |
| 2024-12-26 | Nottingham Forest | 1 – 0 | Tottenham | W |
| 2024-04-07 | Tottenham | 3 – 1 | Nottingham Forest | L |
📈 Recent form
Nottingham Forest come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Stade Brestois 29. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Leeds.
- DLiverpool 2-2 Nottingham ForestPremier League
- LNottingham Forest 0-2 LeedsLeague Cup
- LNottingham Forest 0-1 LeedsPremier League
- WNottingham Forest 2-0 Stade Brestois 29Friendlies Clubs
- WNottingham Forest 2-1 Bayer LeverkusenFriendlies Clubs
Tottenham come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Charlton. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Newcastle.
- LTottenham 0-2 NewcastlePremier League
- WTottenham 5-1 CharltonLeague Cup
- LBrentford 3-0 TottenhamPremier League
- DTottenham 1-1 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
- WChelsea 1-2 TottenhamFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- N. SavonaKnee Injury
- I. SangareCalf Injury
- D. KulusevskiKnee Injury
- W. OdobertKnee Injury
- X. SimonsKnee Injury
- J. MaddisonKnock
- SavinhoMuscle Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Nottingham Forest at 43% to win and Tottenham at 26%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Nottingham Forest win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest Win | 43% | @ 2.45 | +5.1% |
| Draw | 31% | @ 3.35 | +2.6% |
| Tottenham Win | 26% | @ 2.90 | -23.2% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nottingham Forest or Draw at 1.40 (71% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nottingham Forest or Draw | 71% | @ 1.40 | -0.4% |
| Tottenham or Draw | 55% | @ 1.54 | -15.8% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 32% | @ 3.60 | +13.3% |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | @ 2.00 | +7.5% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | @ 1.32 | +2.2% |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | @ 1.28 | -12.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | @ 1.80 | -16.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | @ 3.40 | -23.2% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 57% | @ 1.74 | -1.1% |
| BTTS No | 43% | @ 2.00 | -13.6% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Away | 38% |
| Dixon-Coles | Home | 49% |
| GradientBoosting | Home | 43% |
Two of our three models agree; the third sees it differently. A reasonable but not maximal signal.
Expected goals: 1.49 for the home side, 1.13 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?
Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.32, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 2.00 (+7.5% value).
Who is the favourite for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?
Our model makes a Nottingham Forest win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham.
What is the predicted score for Nottingham Forest vs Tottenham?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.55 for Nottingham Forest and 1.28 for Tottenham. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Nottingham Forest and Tottenham play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
