Oviedo

Sun 6 Sep0-0Finished

Burgos

⚽ Segunda División

Oviedo vs Burgos Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Oviedo vs Burgos in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Oviedo 0-0 Burgos

Oviedo vs Burgos finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Oviedo face Burgos in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Oviedo have 1 win from their last 3, while Burgos have 1 win from their last 3. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Oviedo vs Burgos with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.49

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.16 – 1.26 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	11.2%	7.1%	3.0%	0.9%
1	10.3%	13.0%	8.2%	3.4%	1.1%
2	6.0%	7.5%	4.7%	2.0%	0.6%
3	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%
4	0.7%	0.8%	0.5%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Oviedo winDrawBurgos win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Oviedo vs Burgos comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.49, with a 70% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points no (51%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

56%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Oviedo

Oviedo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Valladolid. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Sabadell.

LSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
WValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
WAlbacete 0-1 OviedoSegunda División
LOviedo 0-1 LeganesSegunda División

Burgos

Burgos come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to AD Ceuta FC. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Sporting Gijon.

WLas Palmas 1-2 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 3-1 AD Ceuta FCSegunda División
DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 1-0 BurgosSegunda División
WBurgos 3-2 CordobaSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Burgos or Draw at 1.71 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Burgos or Draw	66%	54%	@ 1.71
Oviedo or Draw	61%	76%	@ 1.20

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	82%	@ 1.12
Over 1.5	70%	61%	@ 1.49
Under 2.5	56%	64%	@ 1.44
Over 2.5	44%	36%	@ 2.55
Under 1.5	30%	39%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	22%	18%	@ 5.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	58%	@ 1.58
BTTS Yes	49%	42%	@ 2.16

📈 How the market moved

Oviedo 49%Draw 29%Burgos 21%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Burgos?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.49, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Burgos?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.16 for Oviedo and 1.26 for Burgos. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Oviedo and Burgos play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.