⚽ Segunda División

Oviedo vs Granada CF Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Oviedo vs Granada CF in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Oviedo face Granada CF in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Oviedo win the most likely result at 62%, projecting a 2.0-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Oviedo vs Granada CF with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

79%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.99 – 0.94 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	5.0%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
1	10.6%	10.0%	4.7%	1.5%	0.3%
2	10.6%	9.9%	4.7%	1.5%	0.3%
3	7.0%	6.6%	3.1%	1.0%	0.2%
4	3.5%	3.3%	1.5%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Oviedo winDrawGranada CF win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Oviedo vs Granada CF is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates an Oviedo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 62%. Goals lean over 2.5 (56%), both teams to score points yes (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.95 (+9.4% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.95, 56% model probability, +9.4% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Oviedo 62%Draw 21%Granada CF 17%

62%21%17%

62%

Oviedo Win

56%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

+9.4%

Best value: Over 2.5

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Oviedo at 62% to win and Granada CF at 17%, with the draw at 21%. Our model makes an Oviedo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Oviedo Win	62%	@ 1.69	+4.4%
Granada CF Win	17%	@ 4.80	-17.9%
Draw	21%	@ 3.70	-22.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Oviedo or Draw at 1.17 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Oviedo or Draw	83%	@ 1.17	-2.7%
Granada CF or Draw	39%	@ 2.10	-18.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 56% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	34%	@ 3.40	+14.6%
Over 2.5	56%	@ 1.95	+9.4%
Over 1.5	79%	@ 1.30	+2.7%
Under 3.5	66%	@ 1.30	-13.8%
Under 2.5	44%	@ 1.83	-19.6%
Under 1.5	21%	@ 3.40	-28.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.85	-2.7%
BTTS No	47%	@ 1.83	-13.3%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	62%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.91 for the home side, 0.88 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (11%), 2-0 (11%), 1-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Granada CF?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.95 (+9.4% value).

Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Granada CF?

Our model makes an Oviedo win the most likely result at 62%. It projects an expected 2.0-0.9 scoreline for Oviedo vs Granada CF.

What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Granada CF?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.99 for Oviedo and 0.94 for Granada CF. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Oviedo and Granada CF play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.