⚽ Segunda División

Oviedo vs Leganes Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Oviedo vs Leganes in the Segunda División. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Oviedo face Leganes in the Segunda División, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Oviedo win the most likely result at 64%, projecting a 1.7-0.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Oviedo vs Leganes with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.28

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.73 – 0.64 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.0%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
1	16.2%	10.4%	3.3%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.0%	9.0%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	8.1%	5.2%	1.7%	0.4%	0.1%
4	3.5%	2.2%	0.7%	0.2%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Oviedo winDrawLeganes win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Oviedo vs Leganes is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates an Oviedo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 64%. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Oviedo 64%Draw 23%Leganes 13%

64%23%13%

64%

Oviedo Win

58%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Oviedo

Oviedo come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Ponferradina. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at 1. FC Nürnberg.

DOviedo 0-0 Granada CFSegunda División
L1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 OviedoFriendlies Clubs
WOviedo 4-0 PonferradinaFriendlies Clubs
DOviedo 0-0 Deportivo La CorunaFriendlies Clubs
LMallorca 3-0 OviedoLa Liga

Leganes

Leganes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Mérida AD. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Swansea.

DGirona 1-1 LeganesSegunda División
WLeganes 3-0 Mérida ADFriendlies Clubs
WLeganes 2-1 Al-Rayyan SCFriendlies Clubs
LSwansea 1-0 LeganesFriendlies Clubs
WPenafiel 0-2 LeganesFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Oviedo at 64% to win and Leganes at 13%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes an Oviedo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Oviedo Win	64%	@ 1.85	n/a
Draw	23%	@ 3.20	n/a
Leganes Win	13%	@ 4.60	n/a

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Oviedo or Draw at 1.18 (85% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Oviedo or Draw	85%	@ 1.18	n/a
Leganes or Draw	35%	@ 1.90	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.6 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	68%	@ 1.35	n/a
Under 1.5	32%	@ 3.10	n/a
Over 2.5	42%	@ 2.00	n/a
Under 2.5	58%	@ 1.77	n/a
Over 3.5	22%	@ 3.55	n/a
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.28	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	39%	@ 1.83	n/a
BTTS No	61%	@ 1.85	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	64%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 2.02 for the home side, 0.83 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (16%), 2-0 (14%), 1-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Oviedo vs Leganes?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 78% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Oviedo vs Leganes?

Our model makes an Oviedo win the most likely result at 64%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.6 scoreline for Oviedo vs Leganes.

What is the predicted score for Oviedo vs Leganes?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Oviedo and 0.64 for Leganes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Oviedo and Leganes play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.