PadovaPadova
Sat 29 Aug1-1Finished
Hellas VeronaHellas Verona

⚽ Serie B

Padova vs Hellas Verona Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Padova vs Hellas Verona in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Result: Padova 1-1 Hellas Verona

Padova vs Hellas Verona finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Padova face Hellas Verona in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Padova vs Hellas Verona with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Padova or Draw @ 1.48
85%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.16 – 0.30 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 23.2% 7.0% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
1 26.9% 8.1% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
2 15.6% 4.7% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 6.0% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
Padova winDrawHellas Verona win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Padova vs Hellas Verona comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Padova or Draw at odds 1.48, with a 85% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (82%), both teams to score points no (82%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

82%
Under 2.5 goals
82%
BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Padova

Padova come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ascoli. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Palermo.

  • LPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
  • WPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
  • LCremonese 3-1 PadovaSerie B
  • DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
  • WPisa 0-1 PadovaSerie B
Hellas Verona

Hellas Verona come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Arezzo. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Benevento.

  • WHellas Verona 2-1 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
  • LBenevento 3-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
  • WHellas Verona 5-0 ArezzoSerie B
  • WCagliari 1-2 Hellas VeronaCoppa Italia
  • DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Padova or Draw at 1.48 (85% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Padova or Draw 85% 62% @ 1.48
Hellas Verona or Draw 36% 69% @ 1.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-0.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 82% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 94% 80% @ 1.15
Under 2.5 82% 61% @ 1.50
Under 1.5 57% 35% @ 2.60
Over 1.5 43% 65% @ 1.43
Over 2.5 18% 39% @ 2.33
Over 3.5 6% 20% @ 4.60

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 82%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 82% 54% @ 1.70
BTTS Yes 18% 46% @ 1.97

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Padova vs Hellas Verona?

Our model's main pick is Padova or Draw at odds 1.48, with a 85% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 62%.

What is the predicted score for Padova vs Hellas Verona?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.16 for Padova and 0.30 for Hellas Verona. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Padova and Hellas Verona play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

Get free tips, every day

Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.

Or follow us

18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.