Palermo

Sun 23 Aug1-0Finished

Juve Stabia

⚽ Serie B

Palermo vs Juve Stabia Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Palermo vs Juve Stabia in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Palermo 1-0 Juve Stabia

Palermo vs Juve Stabia finished 1-0. Palermo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Palermo face Juve Stabia in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.6-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Palermo vs Juve Stabia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.30

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.65 – 0.86 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.1%	7.0%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
1	13.4%	11.5%	5.0%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.1%	9.5%	4.1%	1.2%	0.3%
3	6.1%	5.2%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Palermo winDrawJuve Stabia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Palermo vs Juve Stabia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Palermo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Palermo 55%Draw 25%Juve Stabia 20%

55%25%20%

55%

Palermo Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Palermo

Palermo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Mantova. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
WPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WArezzo 2-3 PalermoSerie B

Juve Stabia

Juve Stabia come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Sampdoria. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Pisa.

DJuve Stabia 1-1 CesenaSerie B
DVicenza Virtus 1-1 Juve StabiaSerie B
LJuve Stabia 0-3 PisaSerie B
WSampdoria 1-2 Juve StabiaSerie B
LPalermo 1-0 Juve StabiaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Palermo at 55% to win and Juve Stabia at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Palermo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palermo Win	55%	61%	@ 1.52
Draw	25%	24%	@ 3.95
Juve Stabia Win	20%	15%	@ 6.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palermo or Draw at 1.09 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palermo or Draw	79%	85%	@ 1.09
Juve Stabia or Draw	44%	39%	@ 2.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	71%	@ 1.30
Over 1.5	72%	72%	@ 1.27
Under 2.5	54%	51%	@ 1.80
Over 2.5	46%	49%	@ 1.87
Under 1.5	28%	28%	@ 3.30
Over 3.5	24%	29%	@ 3.15

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	54%	54%	@ 1.70
BTTS Yes	46%	46%	@ 1.96

📈 How the market moved

Palermo 60%Draw 24%Juve Stabia 15%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Our model makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.9 scoreline for Palermo vs Juve Stabia.

What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Palermo and 0.86 for Juve Stabia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Palermo and Juve Stabia play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.