⚽ Serie B

Palermo vs Juve Stabia Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Palermo vs Juve Stabia in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Palermo face Juve Stabia in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 55%, projecting a 1.6-0.8 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Palermo vs Juve Stabia with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.28

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.65 – 0.85 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	7.0%	3.0%	0.8%	0.2%
1	13.5%	11.5%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.2%	9.5%	4.0%	1.1%	0.2%
3	6.1%	5.2%	2.2%	0.6%	0.1%
4	2.5%	2.2%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Palermo winDrawJuve Stabia win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Palermo vs Juve Stabia is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Palermo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 55%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points no (54%).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.80, 54% model probability, -2.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Palermo 55%Draw 25%Juve Stabia 20%

55%25%20%

55%

Palermo Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS no

-2.1%

Best value: Under 2.5

📈 Recent form

Palermo

Palermo come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Lecce. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Juventus.

WPalermo 2-0 LecceCoppa Italia
LJuventus 2-0 PalermoFriendlies Clubs
WMelbourne City 0-2 PalermoFriendlies Clubs
DPalermo 1-1 Iraklis 1908Friendlies Clubs
DPalermo 2-2 1. FC NürnbergFriendlies Clubs

Juve Stabia

Juve Stabia come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Ischia. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at Frosinone.

LFrosinone 4-1 Juve StabiaCoppa Italia
LJuve Stabia 0-1 CaveseFriendlies Clubs
WJuve Stabia 5-1 IschiaFriendlies Clubs
LMonza 2-1 Juve StabiaSerie B
DJuve Stabia 2-2 MonzaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Palermo at 55% to win and Juve Stabia at 20%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Palermo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Juve Stabia Win	20%	@ 5.20	+1.6%
Draw	25%	@ 3.70	-5.9%
Palermo Win	55%	@ 1.65	-9.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Juve Stabia or Draw at 2.15 (44% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Juve Stabia or Draw	44%	@ 2.15	-5.3%
Palermo or Draw	80%	@ 1.15	-8.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	54%	@ 1.80	-2.1%
Under 3.5	76%	@ 1.28	-3.0%
Over 1.5	71%	@ 1.33	-5.2%
Under 1.5	29%	@ 3.25	-6.6%
Over 2.5	46%	@ 2.00	-8.8%
Over 3.5	24%	@ 3.55	-13.9%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	54%	@ 1.77	-3.6%
BTTS Yes	46%	@ 1.91	-13.1%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	68%
Dixon-Coles	Home	42%

Both models that could assess this match agree. Our Dixon-Coles model has no reliable team ratings for this competition and was left out, so this rests on two models rather than three.

Expected goals: 1.75 for the home side, 0.96 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (11%), 0-0 (11%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.28, with 76% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

Our model makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 55%. It projects an expected 1.6-0.8 scoreline for Palermo vs Juve Stabia.

What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Juve Stabia?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.65 for Palermo and 0.85 for Juve Stabia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Palermo and Juve Stabia play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.