Palermo

Mon 7 Sep3-1Finished

Sampdoria

⚽ Serie B

Palermo vs Sampdoria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Palermo vs Sampdoria in the Serie B. Kick-off Monday 07 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Palermo 3-1 Sampdoria

Palermo vs Sampdoria finished 3-1. Palermo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Palermo face Sampdoria in the Serie B, kicking off Monday 07 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Palermo have 3 wins from their last 5, while Sampdoria have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 58%, projecting a 1.4-0.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Palermo vs Sampdoria with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.25

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.40 – 0.52 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	14.7%	7.6%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
1	20.5%	10.7%	2.8%	0.5%	0.1%
2	14.4%	7.5%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	6.7%	3.5%	0.9%	0.2%	0.0%
4	2.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Palermo winDrawSampdoria win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Palermo vs Sampdoria comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 87% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Palermo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 58%. Goals lean under 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points no (69%).

📊 Key numbers

Palermo 58%Draw 28%Sampdoria 13%

58%28%13%

58%

Palermo Win

70%

Under 2.5 goals

69%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Palermo

Palermo come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at home to Mantova. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
DAvellino 1-1 PalermoSerie B
WPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
WPalermo 5-2 MantovaCoppa Italia
WArezzo 2-3 PalermoSerie B

Sampdoria

Sampdoria come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Catanzaro. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Mantova.

WSampdoria 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B
LMantova 2-0 SampdoriaSerie B
LPalermo 3-1 SampdoriaSerie B
LSampdoria 1-2 Juve StabiaSerie B
DCesena 1-1 SampdoriaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Palermo at 58% to win and Sampdoria at 13%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Palermo win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palermo Win	58%	52%	@ 1.81
Draw	28%	27%	@ 3.45
Sampdoria Win	13%	21%	@ 4.35

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Palermo or Draw at 1.17 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palermo or Draw	83%	79%	@ 1.17
Sampdoria or Draw	39%	48%	@ 1.89

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	87%	73%	@ 1.25
Under 2.5	70%	53%	@ 1.74
Over 1.5	57%	72%	@ 1.28
Under 1.5	43%	28%	@ 3.30
Over 2.5	30%	47%	@ 1.96
Over 3.5	13%	27%	@ 3.45

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 69%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	69%	50%	@ 1.83
BTTS Yes	31%	50%	@ 1.81

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Palermo or Sampdoria is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Palermo +0.75	86%	84%	1.12
Palermo +0.5	83%	79%	@ 1.21
Palermo +0.25	78%	77%	1.24
Sampdoria +2	73%	83%	1.14
Palermo 0	72%	73%	1.30
Sampdoria +1.75	68%	76%	1.25
Palermo -0.25	67%	62%	@ 1.54
Sampdoria +1.5	63%	70%	1.36
Palermo -0.5	62%	54%	@ 1.78
Sampdoria +1.25	57%	66%	1.44
Palermo -0.75	55%	48%	@ 2.00
Sampdoria +1	51%	61%	1.57
Palermo -1	49%	39%	@ 2.42
Sampdoria +0.75	45%	52%	1.84
Palermo -1.25	43%	34%	@ 2.81
Sampdoria +0.5	39%	46%	2.06
Palermo -1.5	37%	30%	@ 3.17
Sampdoria +0.25	33%	38%	2.48
Palermo -1.75	32%	24%	@ 4.00
Sampdoria 0	28%	27%	3.54
Palermo -2	27%	17%	@ 5.75
Sampdoria -0.25	22%	23%	4.08
Sampdoria -0.5	17%	21%	4.43
Sampdoria -0.75	14%	16%	6.00

📈 How the market moved

Palermo 53%Draw 27%Sampdoria 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Palermo vs Sampdoria?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.25, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.

Who is the favourite for Palermo vs Sampdoria?

Our model makes a Palermo win the most likely result at 58%. It projects an expected 1.4-0.5 scoreline for Palermo vs Sampdoria.

What is the predicted score for Palermo vs Sampdoria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.40 for Palermo and 0.52 for Sampdoria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Palermo and Sampdoria play?

Kick-off is Monday 07 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.