Panathinaikos

Sun 13 Sep3-0Finished

Panetolikos

⚽ Super League 1

Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Panathinaikos 3-0 Panetolikos

Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos finished 3-0. Panathinaikos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.36, landed.

Panathinaikos face Panetolikos in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Panathinaikos have 2 wins from their last 5, while Panetolikos have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Panathinaikos win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.40

67%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.71 – 1.18 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	6.6%	3.9%	1.5%	0.4%
1	9.5%	11.2%	6.6%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.1%	9.6%	5.7%	2.2%	0.7%
3	4.6%	5.5%	3.2%	1.3%	0.4%
4	2.0%	2.3%	1.4%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Panathinaikos winDrawPanetolikos win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Panathinaikos win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean over 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Panathinaikos 47%Draw 26%Panetolikos 28%

47%26%28%

47%

Panathinaikos Win

55%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Panetolikos. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WKalamata 0-1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
WPanathinaikos 3-0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
WPanathinaikos 3-1 KifisiaSuper League 1
WPanathinaikos 3-1 PAOKSuper League 1
WLevadiakos 0-2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1

Panetolikos

Panetolikos come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Levadiakos. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to PAOK.

LPanetolikos 1-3 PAOKSuper League 1
LPanathinaikos 3-0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
WLevadiakos 0-2 PanetolikosSuper League 1
WPanetolikos 2-0 KalamataSuper League 1
WPanetolikos 3-1 Asteras TripolisSuper League 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Panathinaikos at 47% to win and Panetolikos at 28%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a Panathinaikos win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Panathinaikos Win	47%	71%	@ 1.33
Panetolikos Win	28%	10%	@ 9.00
Draw	26%	19%	@ 5.00

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Panathinaikos or Draw at 1.07 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Panathinaikos or Draw	72%	90%	@ 1.07
Panetolikos or Draw	53%	29%	@ 3.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 55% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	77%	@ 1.22
Under 3.5	67%	66%	@ 1.40
Over 2.5	55%	55%	@ 1.73
Under 2.5	45%	45%	@ 2.08
Over 3.5	33%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 1.5	22%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	42%	@ 2.20
BTTS No	46%	58%	@ 1.62

📈 How the market moved

Panathinaikos 72%Draw 18%Panetolikos 10%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.40, with a 67% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 66%.

Who is the favourite for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?

Our model makes a Panathinaikos win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.2 scoreline for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos.

What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs Panetolikos?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Panathinaikos and 1.18 for Panetolikos. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Panathinaikos and Panetolikos play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.