Panathinaikos

Sun 6 Sep3-1Finished

PAOK

⚽ Super League 1

Panathinaikos vs PAOK Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Panathinaikos vs PAOK in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Panathinaikos 3-1 PAOK

Panathinaikos vs PAOK finished 3-1. Panathinaikos won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Panathinaikos face PAOK in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Panathinaikos have 1 win from their last 5, while PAOK have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 3 meetings, Panathinaikos won 1, 2 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Panathinaikos vs PAOK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

PAOK or Draw @ 1.54

70%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.03 – 1.33 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.4%	12.6%	8.4%	3.7%	1.2%
1	9.7%	12.9%	8.6%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.0%	6.7%	4.4%	2.0%	0.7%
3	1.7%	2.3%	1.5%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.4%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Panathinaikos winDrawPAOK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Panathinaikos vs PAOK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is PAOK or Draw at odds 1.54, with a 70% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points no (53%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

58%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 3 meetings between Panathinaikos and PAOK. Wins shown from Panathinaikos’s perspective: Panathinaikos 1 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-06	Panathinaikos	3 – 1	PAOK	W
2026-05-17	Panathinaikos	2 – 2	PAOK	D
2026-04-05	PAOK	0 – 0	Panathinaikos	D

📈 Recent form

Panathinaikos

Panathinaikos come into this game with 5 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Panetolikos. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WKalamata 0-1 PanathinaikosSuper League 1
WPanathinaikos 3-0 PanetolikosSuper League 1
WPanathinaikos 3-1 KifisiaSuper League 1
WPanathinaikos 3-1 PAOKSuper League 1
WLevadiakos 0-2 PanathinaikosSuper League 1

PAOK

PAOK come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Panetolikos. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Panathinaikos.

WPanetolikos 1-3 PAOKSuper League 1
WAtromitos 0-1 PAOKCup
WPAOK 2-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
LPanathinaikos 3-1 PAOKSuper League 1
DPAOK 0-0 OFICup

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PAOK or Draw at 1.54 (70% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PAOK or Draw	70%	60%	@ 1.54
Panathinaikos or Draw	56%	70%	@ 1.32

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.0-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 58% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	79%	77%	@ 1.20
Over 1.5	68%	69%	@ 1.34
Under 2.5	58%	56%	@ 1.63
Over 2.5	42%	44%	@ 2.10
Under 1.5	32%	31%	@ 2.95
Over 3.5	21%	23%	@ 3.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	50%	@ 1.84
BTTS Yes	47%	50%	@ 1.83

📈 How the market moved

Panathinaikos 43%Draw 29%PAOK 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?

Our model's main pick is PAOK or Draw at odds 1.54, with a 70% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 60%.

What is the predicted score for Panathinaikos vs PAOK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.03 for Panathinaikos and 1.33 for PAOK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Panathinaikos and PAOK play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.