PAOK

Sun 13 Sep2-0Finished

Aris Thessalonikis

⚽ Super League 1

PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: PAOK 2-0 Aris Thessalonikis

PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis finished 2-0. PAOK won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.73, did not land.

PAOK face Aris Thessalonikis in the Super League 1, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: PAOK have 2 wins from their last 5, while Aris Thessalonikis have 4 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a PAOK win the most likely result at 67%, projecting a 2.7-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.73

75%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.70 – 1.24 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.9%	2.4%	1.5%	0.6%	0.2%
1	5.3%	6.5%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%
2	7.1%	8.8%	5.4%	2.3%	0.7%
3	6.4%	7.9%	4.9%	2.0%	0.6%
4	4.3%	5.3%	3.3%	1.4%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

PAOK winDrawAris Thessalonikis win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 75% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a PAOK win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 67%. Goals lean over 2.5 (75%), both teams to score points yes (65%).

📊 Key numbers

PAOK 67%Draw 19%Aris Thessalonikis 14%

67%19%14%

67%

PAOK Win

75%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

PAOK

PAOK come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Panetolikos. Their only defeat in that run was 1-3 at Panathinaikos.

WPanetolikos 1-3 PAOKSuper League 1
WAtromitos 0-1 PAOKCup
WPAOK 2-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
LPanathinaikos 3-1 PAOKSuper League 1
DPAOK 0-0 OFICup

Aris Thessalonikis

Aris Thessalonikis come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Marko. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at PAOK.

DAris Thessalonikis 0-0 Iraklis 1908Super League 1
WAris Thessalonikis 1-0 MarkoCup
LPAOK 2-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1
DAsteras Tripolis 1-1 Aris ThessalonikisCup
LAEK Athens FC 5-0 Aris ThessalonikisSuper League 1

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PAOK at 67% to win and Aris Thessalonikis at 14%, with the draw at 19%. Our model makes a PAOK win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PAOK Win	67%	63%	@ 1.50
Draw	19%	21%	@ 4.50
Aris Thessalonikis Win	14%	16%	@ 5.75

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is PAOK or Draw at 1.14 (86% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
PAOK or Draw	86%	84%	@ 1.14
Aris Thessalonikis or Draw	34%	37%	@ 2.50

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 75% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	90%	77%	@ 1.22
Over 2.5	75%	55%	@ 1.73
Over 3.5	55%	34%	@ 2.75
Under 3.5	45%	66%	@ 1.40
Under 2.5	25%	45%	@ 2.08
Under 1.5	10%	23%	@ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 65%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	65%	50%	@ 1.91
BTTS No	35%	50%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

PAOK 63%Draw 21%Aris Thessalonikis 16%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.73, with a 75% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 55%.

Who is the favourite for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?

Our model makes a PAOK win the most likely result at 67%. It projects an expected 2.7-1.2 scoreline for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis.

What is the predicted score for PAOK vs Aris Thessalonikis?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.70 for PAOK and 1.24 for Aris Thessalonikis. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PAOK and Aris Thessalonikis play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.