PAU

Fri 21 Aug0-1Finished

Nancy

⚽ Ligue 2

PAU vs Nancy Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for PAU vs Nancy in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: PAU 0-1 Nancy

PAU vs Nancy finished 0-1. Nancy won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Our pre-match best bet, Nancy Asian Handicap with a +1 start at 1.30, landed.

PAU face Nancy in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Nancy won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Nancy win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.2-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for PAU vs Nancy with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Nancy Asian Handicap +1.0 @ 1.30

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.21 – 2.11 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.6%	7.6%	8.0%	5.7%	3.0%
1	4.4%	9.2%	9.7%	6.8%	3.6%
2	2.6%	5.6%	5.9%	4.1%	2.2%
3	1.1%	2.3%	2.4%	1.7%	0.9%
4	0.3%	0.7%	0.7%	0.5%	0.3%

Projected score: 1-2

PAU winDrawNancy win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for PAU vs Nancy comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Nancy Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.30, with a 87% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Nancy win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (61%).

📊 Key numbers

PAU 20%Draw 23%Nancy 57%

20%23%57%

57%

Nancy Win

64%

Over 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between PAU and Nancy. Wins shown from PAU’s perspective: Nancy 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-21	PAU	0 – 1	Nancy	L
2026-05-02	PAU	1 – 3	Nancy	L

📈 Recent form

PAU

PAU come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Montpellier.

WPAU 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
LMontpellier 1-0 PAULigue 2
DPAU 1-1 SochauxLigue 2
DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
LPAU 0-1 NancyLigue 2

Nancy

Nancy come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Dunkerque. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Reims.

WRodez 3-4 NancyLigue 2
LNancy 1-2 ReimsLigue 2
LNantes 1-0 NancyLigue 2
WNancy 2-0 DunkerqueLigue 2
WPAU 0-1 NancyLigue 2

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices PAU at 20% to win and Nancy at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Nancy win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nancy Win	57%	31%	@ 2.90
Draw	23%	27%	@ 3.30
PAU Win	20%	41%	@ 2.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Nancy or Draw at 1.56 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nancy or Draw	80%	59%	@ 1.56
PAU or Draw	43%	69%	@ 1.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	84%	74%	@ 1.24
Over 2.5	64%	51%	@ 1.80
Under 3.5	58%	69%	@ 1.32
Over 3.5	42%	31%	@ 3.00
Under 2.5	36%	49%	@ 1.87
Under 1.5	16%	26%	@ 3.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	61%	56%	@ 1.63
BTTS No	39%	44%	@ 2.07

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when PAU or Nancy is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Nancy +1.75	94%	83%	@ 1.15
Nancy +1.5	93%	77%	@ 1.22
Nancy +1.25	90%	–	@ 1.25
Nancy +1	87%	73%	@ 1.30
Nancy +0.75	83%	64%	@ 1.48
Nancy +0.5	80%	58%	@ 1.64
Nancy +0.25	74%	51%	@ 1.87
Nancy 0	68%	41%	@ 2.31
Nancy -0.25	63%	34%	@ 2.77
PAU +1.25	62%	85%	1.12
PAU +1	56%	84%	1.13
Nancy -0.75	51%	23%	@ 4.04
PAU +0.75	49%	77%	1.24
Nancy -1	44%	16%	@ 5.90
PAU +0.5	43%	–	1.36
Nancy -1.25	38%	15%	@ 6.40
PAU +0.25	37%	66%	1.45
PAU 0	32%	59%	1.61
PAU -0.25	26%	49%	1.97
PAU -0.5	20%	42%	2.22
PAU -0.75	17%	36%	2.67
PAU -1	13%	27%	3.55
PAU -1.5	7%	23%	4.15
PAU -1.75	6%	17%	5.50

📈 How the market moved

PAU 42%Draw 28%Nancy 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for PAU vs Nancy?

Our model's main pick is Nancy Asian Handicap with a +1 start at odds 1.30, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 77%.

Who is the favourite for PAU vs Nancy?

Our model makes a Nancy win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.2-2.1 scoreline for PAU vs Nancy.

What is the predicted score for PAU vs Nancy?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.21 for PAU and 2.11 for Nancy. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do PAU and Nancy play?

Kick-off is Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.