Pisa

Sun 23 Aug0-1Finished

Padova

⚽ Serie B

Pisa vs Padova Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Pisa vs Padova in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Pisa 0-1 Padova

Pisa vs Padova finished 0-1. Padova won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Pisa face Padova in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Pisa vs Padova with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.34

81%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.86 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	5.6%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
1	8.5%	10.4%	6.4%	2.6%	0.8%
2	7.9%	9.7%	6.0%	2.4%	0.8%
3	4.9%	6.0%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%
4	2.3%	2.8%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Pisa winDrawPadova win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Pisa vs Padova comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 81% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

60%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Pisa

Pisa come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Juve Stabia. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Fiorentina.

DMantova 2-2 PisaSerie B
LFiorentina 3-0 PisaCoppa Italia
LPisa 1-4 Virtus EntellaSerie B
WJuve Stabia 0-3 PisaSerie B
WPisa 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B

Padova

Padova come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Ascoli. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Palermo.

LPalermo 2-1 PadovaSerie B
WPadova 1-0 AscoliSerie B
LCremonese 3-1 PadovaSerie B
DPadova 1-1 Hellas VeronaSerie B
WPisa 0-1 PadovaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Pisa or Draw at 1.16 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Pisa or Draw	76%	80%	@ 1.16
Padova or Draw	49%	48%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	81%	68%	@ 1.34
Under 3.5	63%	75%	@ 1.23
Over 2.5	60%	44%	@ 2.06
Under 2.5	40%	56%	@ 1.65
Over 3.5	37%	25%	@ 3.60
Under 1.5	19%	32%	@ 2.90

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	60%	47%	@ 1.92
BTTS No	40%	53%	@ 1.73

📈 How the market moved

Pisa 53%Draw 28%Padova 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pisa vs Padova?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.34, with a 81% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Padova?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Pisa and 1.23 for Padova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Pisa and Padova play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.