⚽ Serie B

Pisa vs Padova Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Pisa vs Padova in the Serie B. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Pisa face Padova in the Serie B, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Pisa vs Padova with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.38

81%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.86 – 1.22 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	5.6%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
1	8.5%	10.4%	6.4%	2.6%	0.8%
2	8.0%	9.7%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%
3	4.9%	6.0%	3.7%	1.5%	0.5%
4	2.3%	2.8%	1.7%	0.7%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

Pisa winDrawPadova win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Pisa vs Padova is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.38, the selection our model is most confident in at 81%. Goals lean over 2.5 (59%), both teams to score points yes (60%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

59%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Pisa

Pisa come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 6-1 at home to Pavia. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to PRO Vercelli.

DPisa 1-1 EmpoliCoppa Italia
DBologna 1-1 PisaFriendlies Clubs
LPisa 0-1 PRO VercelliFriendlies Clubs
WPisa 6-1 PaviaFriendlies Clubs
LLazio 2-1 PisaSerie A

Padova

Padova come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Cittadella. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Udinese.

LUdinese 1-0 PadovaCoppa Italia
DMonza 3-3 PadovaFriendlies Clubs
WCittadella 0-2 PadovaFriendlies Clubs
LPadova 1-3 OspitalettoFriendlies Clubs
LSassuolo 4-1 PadovaFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Pisa or Draw at 1.18 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Pisa or Draw	76%	@ 1.18	n/a
Padova or Draw	49%	@ 2.05	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 59% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	81%	@ 1.38	n/a
Under 1.5	19%	@ 2.95	n/a
Over 2.5	59%	@ 2.20	n/a
Under 2.5	41%	@ 1.65	n/a
Over 3.5	37%	@ 4.20	n/a
Under 3.5	63%	@ 1.22	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	60%	@ 2.00	n/a
BTTS No	40%	@ 1.70	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	52%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.63 for the home side, 1.03 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pisa vs Padova?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.38, with 81% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Padova?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.86 for Pisa and 1.22 for Padova. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Pisa and Padova play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.