Pisa

Fri 11 Sep1-4Finished

Virtus Entella

⚽ Serie B

Pisa vs Virtus Entella Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Pisa vs Virtus Entella in the Serie B. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Pisa 1-4 Virtus Entella

Pisa vs Virtus Entella finished 1-4. Virtus Entella won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 2.5 goals at 1.55, did not land.

Pisa face Virtus Entella in the Serie B, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Pisa vs Virtus Entella with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.55

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.31 – 0.48 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	16.7%	8.0%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
1	21.9%	10.5%	2.5%	0.4%	0.0%
2	14.3%	6.9%	1.7%	0.3%	0.0%
3	6.3%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	2.0%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Pisa winDrawVirtus Entella win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Pisa vs Virtus Entella comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.55, with a 73% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points no (72%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

73%

Under 2.5 goals

72%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Pisa

Pisa come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Juve Stabia. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at Fiorentina.

DMantova 2-2 PisaSerie B
LFiorentina 3-0 PisaCoppa Italia
LPisa 1-4 Virtus EntellaSerie B
WJuve Stabia 0-3 PisaSerie B
WPisa 2-1 CatanzaroSerie B

Virtus Entella

Virtus Entella come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Pisa. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Cesena.

DCremonese 0-0 Virtus EntellaSerie B
WPisa 1-4 Virtus EntellaSerie B
DVirtus Entella 2-2 Vicenza VirtusSerie B
LVirtus Entella 1-2 CesenaSerie B
LSudtirol 1-0 Virtus EntellaSerie B

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Pisa or Draw at 1.13 (83% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Pisa or Draw	83%	81%	@ 1.13
Virtus Entella or Draw	39%	47%	@ 1.96

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.5 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	89%	79%	@ 1.17
Under 2.5	73%	59%	@ 1.55
Over 1.5	53%	67%	@ 1.38
Under 1.5	47%	33%	@ 2.75
Over 2.5	27%	41%	@ 2.25
Over 3.5	11%	21%	@ 4.35

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 72%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	72%	57%	@ 1.61
BTTS Yes	28%	43%	@ 2.10

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Pisa or Virtus Entella is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Pisa +0.75	86%	86%	1.10
Pisa +0.5	83%	82%	1.17
Pisa +0.25	77%	–	1.20
Virtus Entella +2	73%	83%	1.14
Pisa 0	72%	–	1.25
Virtus Entella +1.75	69%	76%	1.25
Pisa -0.25	66%	64%	1.49
Virtus Entella +1.5	64%	70%	1.36
Pisa -0.5	61%	56%	1.71
Virtus Entella +1.25	58%	65%	1.47
Pisa -0.75	54%	50%	1.92
Virtus Entella +1	52%	60%	1.60
Pisa -1	48%	40%	2.37
Virtus Entella +0.75	46%	50%	1.93
Pisa -1.25	42%	35%	2.73
Virtus Entella +0.5	39%	44%	2.15
Pisa -1.5	36%	30%	3.13
Virtus Entella +0.25	34%	36%	2.68
Pisa -1.75	31%	24%	3.92
Pisa -2	27%	17%	5.75
Virtus Entella -0.5	17%	18%	5.18
Virtus Entella -0.75	14%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Pisa 55%Draw 28%Virtus Entella 17%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Pisa vs Virtus Entella?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.55, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Virtus Entella?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.31 for Pisa and 0.48 for Virtus Entella. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Pisa and Virtus Entella play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.