Polessya
Zorya Luhansk⚽ Premier League
Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk in the Premier League. Kick-off Monday 17 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
Result: Polessya 1-2 Zorya Luhansk
Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk finished 1-2. Zorya Luhansk won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Zorya Luhansk Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at 1.39, landed.
Polessya face Zorya Luhansk in the Premier League, kicking off Monday 17 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Zorya Luhansk won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Polessya win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.9-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 7.9% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.9% |
| 2 | 7.5% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 4.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Zorya Luhansk Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Polessya win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (61%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Polessya and Zorya Luhansk. Wins shown from Polessya’s perspective: 1 drawn · Zorya Luhansk 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-17 | Polessya | 1 – 2 | Zorya Luhansk | L |
| 2026-05-18 | Zorya Luhansk | 0 – 0 | Polessya | D |
📈 Recent form
Polessya come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Kudrivka. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Livyi Bereh.
- WPolessya 1-0 Kryvbas KRPremier League
- LLivyi Bereh 1-0 PolessyaPremier League
- WPolessya 2-0 KudrivkaCup
- WPolessya 5-1 KudrivkaPremier League
- WShakhtar Donetsk 0-2 PolessyaPremier League
Zorya Luhansk come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Yarud Mariupol'. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Dynamo Kyiv.
- LZorya Luhansk 0-2 Dynamo KyivPremier League
- DBukovyna 1-1 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
- WYarud Mariupol' 0-2 Zorya LuhanskCup
- DVeres Rivne 1-1 Zorya LuhanskPremier League
- LZorya Luhansk 0-3 FC KharkivPremier League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Polessya at 51% to win and Zorya Luhansk at 26%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Polessya win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya Win | 51% | 60% | @ 1.48 |
| Zorya Luhansk Win | 26% | 16% | @ 5.50 |
| Draw | 23% | 23% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Polessya or Draw at 1.10 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Polessya or Draw | 75% | 84% | @ 1.10 |
| Zorya Luhansk or Draw | 50% | 40% | @ 2.40 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 61% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 73% | @ 1.28 |
| Over 2.5 | 61% | 49% | @ 1.95 |
| Under 3.5 | 61% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| Over 3.5 | 39% | 28% | @ 3.40 |
| Under 2.5 | 39% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Polessya or Zorya Luhansk is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zorya Luhansk +2 | 82% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Zorya Luhansk +1.75 | 78% | 67% | @ 1.39 |
| Polessya +0.5 | 75% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Zorya Luhansk +1.5 | 74% | 61% | @ 1.54 |
| Zorya Luhansk +1.25 | 68% | 55% | @ 1.70 |
| Polessya +0.25 | 68% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Zorya Luhansk +1 | 62% | 48% | @ 1.94 |
| Polessya 0 | 62% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Zorya Luhansk +0.75 | 56% | 41% | @ 2.29 |
| Polessya -0.25 | 56% | 71% | 1.32 |
| Zorya Luhansk +0.5 | 50% | 36% | @ 2.58 |
| Polessya -0.5 | 50% | 64% | 1.48 |
| Zorya Luhansk +0.25 | 44% | 29% | @ 3.25 |
| Polessya -0.75 | 44% | 59% | 1.60 |
| Zorya Luhansk 0 | 38% | 20% | @ 4.65 |
| Polessya -1 | 38% | 52% | 1.82 |
| Polessya -1.25 | 32% | 45% | 2.12 |
| Zorya Luhansk -0.25 | 32% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Polessya -1.5 | 26% | 39% | 2.40 |
| Zorya Luhansk -0.5 | 25% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Polessya -1.75 | 22% | 33% | 2.88 |
| Polessya -2 | 18% | 25% | 3.70 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?
Our model's main pick is Zorya Luhansk Asian Handicap with a +1.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?
Our model makes a Polessya win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.9-1.3 scoreline for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk.
What is the predicted score for Polessya vs Zorya Luhansk?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.89 for Polessya and 1.28 for Zorya Luhansk. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Polessya and Zorya Luhansk play?
Kick-off is Monday 17 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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