⚽ Championship
Portsmouth vs QPR Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portsmouth vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: Portsmouth 1-3 QPR
Portsmouth vs QPR finished 1-3. QPR won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Portsmouth face QPR in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 3 meetings, Portsmouth won 2, QPR won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.6-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portsmouth vs QPR with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.9% | 7.7% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 12.1% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.6% | 9.4% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 5.0% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Portsmouth vs QPR comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Portsmouth with a +0.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 79% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Portsmouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (51%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 3 meetings between Portsmouth and QPR. Wins shown from Portsmouth’s perspective: Portsmouth 2 · QPR 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Portsmouth | 1 – 3 | QPR | L |
| 2025-02-22 | Portsmouth | 2 – 1 | QPR | W |
| 2024-10-19 | QPR | 1 – 2 | Portsmouth | W |
📈 Recent form
Portsmouth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 6. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Cardiff. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at home to Derby.
- DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
- WPortsmouth 2-0 CardiffChampionship
- LPortsmouth 0-2 DerbyChampionship
- LBristol City 2-1 PortsmouthChampionship
QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.
- DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
- LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 10 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. AndersonInjury
- J. BursikInjury
- J. FarrellGroin Injury
- M. KosznovszkyKnee Injury
- C. OgilvieKnee Injury
- M. PackKnee Injury
- F. UmehHamstring Injury
- T. WaddinghamAnkle Injury
- K. DembeleKnee Injury
- R. KolliCoach's decision
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Portsmouth at 47% to win and QPR at 22%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth Win | 47% | 42% | @ 2.23 |
| Draw | 31% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| QPR Win | 22% | 31% | @ 3.05 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portsmouth or Draw at 1.35 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth or Draw | 75% | 69% | @ 1.35 |
| QPR or Draw | 50% | 58% | @ 1.62 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 75% | 70% | @ 1.33 |
| Over 1.5 | 72% | 74% | @ 1.25 |
| Under 2.5 | 53% | 49% | @ 1.90 |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 51% | @ 1.85 |
| Under 1.5 | 28% | 26% | @ 3.65 |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 30% | @ 3.15 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 56% | @ 1.65 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Portsmouth or QPR is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Portsmouth +1.5 | 91% | – | 1.10 |
| Portsmouth +1.25 | 87% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Portsmouth +1 | 83% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Portsmouth +0.75 | 79% | 75% | @ 1.27 |
| QPR +1.75 | 78% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Portsmouth +0.5 | 75% | 68% | @ 1.38 |
| QPR +1.5 | 74% | – | 1.20 |
| Portsmouth +0.25 | 69% | 64% | @ 1.50 |
| QPR +1.25 | 68% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Portsmouth 0 | 63% | 57% | @ 1.67 |
| QPR +1 | 62% | 74% | 1.27 |
| Portsmouth -0.25 | 56% | 47% | @ 2.04 |
| QPR +0.75 | 56% | 66% | 1.45 |
| Portsmouth -0.5 | 50% | 42% | @ 2.24 |
| QPR +0.5 | 50% | 58% | 1.62 |
| Portsmouth -0.75 | 44% | 34% | @ 2.79 |
| QPR +0.25 | 44% | 53% | 1.84 |
| Portsmouth -1 | 38% | 26% | @ 3.71 |
| QPR 0 | 37% | 43% | 2.19 |
| Portsmouth -1.25 | 32% | 23% | @ 4.18 |
| QPR -0.25 | 31% | 36% | 2.62 |
| QPR -0.5 | 25% | 32% | 2.97 |
| Portsmouth -1.75 | 22% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| QPR -0.75 | 21% | 25% | 3.81 |
| QPR -1 | 17% | 17% | 5.75 |
| QPR -1.25 | 13% | 16% | 6.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs QPR?
Our model's main pick is Portsmouth with a +0.75 start at odds 1.27, with a 79% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 75%.
Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs QPR?
Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline for Portsmouth vs QPR.
What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs QPR?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Portsmouth and 0.98 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Portsmouth and QPR play?
Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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