⚽ Championship

Portsmouth vs QPR Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Portsmouth vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

Portsmouth face QPR in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Portsmouth won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 47%, projecting a 1.6-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Portsmouth vs QPR with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Portsmouth or Draw @ 1.35

75%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.56 – 0.98 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.9%	7.7%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%
1	12.3%	12.1%	5.9%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.4%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
3	5.0%	4.9%	2.4%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Portsmouth winDrawQPR win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Portsmouth vs QPR is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Portsmouth or Draw at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 75%. On the match result, the model rates a Portsmouth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 47%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (51%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 2.10 (+7.1% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 2.10, 51% model probability, +7.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Portsmouth 47%Draw 31%QPR 22%

47%31%22%

47%

Portsmouth Win

53%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

+7.1%

Best value: BTTS No

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Portsmouth and QPR. Wins shown from Portsmouth’s perspective: Portsmouth 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-02-22	Portsmouth	2 – 1	QPR	W
2024-10-19	QPR	1 – 2	Portsmouth	W

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Portsmouth at 47% to win and QPR at 22%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	31%	@ 3.45	+7.2%
Portsmouth Win	47%	@ 2.18	+2.8%
QPR Win	22%	@ 3.10	-32.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Portsmouth or Draw at 1.35 (75% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Portsmouth or Draw	75%	@ 1.35	+1.5%
QPR or Draw	50%	@ 1.65	-17.9%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 2.5	53%	@ 1.93	+3.0%
Under 3.5	75%	@ 1.35	+1.1%
Under 1.5	28%	@ 3.55	-0.9%
Over 1.5	72%	@ 1.28	-7.7%
Over 2.5	47%	@ 1.85	-13.7%
Over 3.5	25%	@ 3.10	-22.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	51%	@ 2.10	+7.1%
BTTS Yes	49%	@ 1.70	-16.7%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	48%
Dixon-Coles	Home	52%
GradientBoosting	Home	45%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.60 for the home side, 1.05 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 2-1 (10%), 1-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Portsmouth vs QPR?

Our main pick is Portsmouth or Draw at odds 1.35, with 75% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 2.10 (+7.1% value).

Who is the favourite for Portsmouth vs QPR?

Our model makes a Portsmouth win the most likely result at 47%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.0 scoreline for Portsmouth vs QPR.

What is the predicted score for Portsmouth vs QPR?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.56 for Portsmouth and 0.98 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Portsmouth and QPR play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.