Sat 5 Sep2-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Preston vs Blackburn Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Preston vs Blackburn in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Result: Preston 2-1 Blackburn

Preston vs Blackburn finished 2-1. Preston won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Preston face Blackburn in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: Preston have no wins from their last 3, while Blackburn have 1 win from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, Preston won 2, Blackburn won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Preston vs Blackburn with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Blackburn +1 @ 1.25
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.20 – 1.34 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 7.9% 10.6% 7.1% 3.2% 1.1%
1 9.5% 12.7% 8.5% 3.8% 1.3%
2 5.7% 7.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.8%
3 2.3% 3.0% 2.0% 0.9% 0.3%
4 0.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Projected score: 1-1
Preston winDrawBlackburn win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Preston vs Blackburn comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Blackburn with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Blackburn win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean under 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points yes (52%).

📊 Key numbers

Preston 32%Draw 30%Blackburn 37%
32%30%37%
37%
Blackburn Win
53%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between Preston and Blackburn. Wins shown from Preston’s perspective: Preston 2 · 2 drawn · Blackburn 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-05 Preston 2 – 1 Blackburn W
2025-01-31 Blackburn 2 – 1 Preston L
2024-09-22 Preston 0 – 0 Blackburn D
2024-02-17 Preston 2 – 2 Blackburn D
2023-11-10 Blackburn 1 – 2 Preston W

📈 Recent form

Preston

Preston come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Lincoln.

  • DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
  • LPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
  • LWatford 2-1 PrestonChampionship
  • WPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
  • LPreston 1-3 Bristol CityChampionship
Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Sheffield Utd.

  • DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
  • WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship
  • LBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
  • LPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
  • DLincoln 0-0 BlackburnChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 12 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Preston
  • T. CarrollAnkle Injury
  • A. McCannInjury
  • B. PottsAnkle Injury
Blackburn
  • T. AtchesonSuspended (red card)
  • M. BaradjiHamstring Injury
  • M. JorgensenHamstring Injury
  • A. KargboMuscle Injury
  • M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
  • L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Y. OhashiNot in squad
  • H. PickeringNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Preston at 32% to win and Blackburn at 37%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Blackburn Win 37% 33% @ 2.80
Preston Win 32% 37% @ 2.48
Draw 30% 29% @ 3.15

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Blackburn or Draw at 1.50 (66% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Blackburn or Draw 66% 63% @ 1.50
Preston or Draw 61% 67% @ 1.41

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 75% 75% @ 1.25
Over 1.5 72% 70% @ 1.32
Under 2.5 53% 54% @ 1.72
Over 2.5 47% 46% @ 2.05
Under 1.5 28% 30% @ 3.15
Over 3.5 25% 25% @ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 52% 52% @ 1.78
BTTS No 48% 48% @ 1.93

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Preston or Blackburn is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Blackburn +1.75 88% 85% 1.12
Blackburn +1.5 85% 80% @ 1.18
Preston +1.5 82% 84% 1.12
Blackburn +1.25 80% 78% 1.22
Preston +1.25 77% 83% 1.14
Blackburn +1 76% – 1.25
Preston +1 71% – 1.17
Blackburn +0.75 71% 68% 1.41
Preston +0.75 66% 74% 1.28
Blackburn +0.5 66% 61% @ 1.58
Preston +0.5 61% 67% 1.42
Blackburn +0.25 59% 54% @ 1.78
Preston +0.25 54% 62% 1.54
Blackburn 0 53% 45% @ 2.12
Preston 0 47% 55% 1.75
Blackburn -0.25 46% 38% @ 2.50
Preston -0.25 41% 46% 2.12
Blackburn -0.5 39% 33% @ 2.92
Preston -0.5 34% 39% 2.43
Blackburn -0.75 34% 26% @ 3.67
Preston -0.75 29% 32% 2.95
Blackburn -1.25 23% 17% @ 5.75
Preston -1.25 20% 22% 4.37
Blackburn -1.5 18% 16% @ 6.00
Preston -1.5 15% 20% 4.65
Preston -1.75 12% 15% 6.25

📈 How the market moved

25%34%43%09/0109/0209/0309/0409/05

Preston 38%Draw 29%Blackburn 32%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston vs Blackburn?

Our model's main pick is Blackburn with a +1 start at odds 1.25, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 80%.

Who is the favourite for Preston vs Blackburn?

Our model makes a Blackburn win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline for Preston vs Blackburn.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Blackburn?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.20 for Preston and 1.34 for Blackburn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Preston and Blackburn play?

Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.