⚽ Championship
Preston vs Bristol City Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Preston vs Bristol City in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Preston 1-3 Bristol City
Preston vs Bristol City finished 1-3. Bristol City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Preston face Bristol City in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: Preston have 1 win from their last 5, while Bristol City have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Preston won 1, Bristol City won 2, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bristol City win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.4-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Preston vs Bristol City with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 9.0% | 12.2% | 8.2% | 3.7% | 1.2% |
| 2 | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Preston vs Bristol City comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bristol City win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points yes (56%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Preston and Bristol City. Wins shown from Preston’s perspective: Preston 1 · 2 drawn · Bristol City 2.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Preston | 1 – 3 | Bristol City | L |
| 2025-05-03 | Bristol City | 2 – 2 | Preston | D |
| 2024-11-02 | Preston | 1 – 3 | Bristol City | L |
| 2024-01-13 | Preston | 2 – 0 | Bristol City | W |
| 2023-08-05 | Bristol City | 1 – 1 | Preston | D |
📈 Recent form
Preston come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Lincoln.
- DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
- LPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
- LWatford 2-1 PrestonChampionship
- WPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
- LPreston 1-3 Bristol CityChampionship
Bristol City come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Preston. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Lincoln.
- WBristol City 1-0 WatfordChampionship
- LBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
- LSouthampton 4-1 Bristol CityChampionship
- WBurnley 1-2 Bristol CityChampionship
- WPreston 1-3 Bristol CityChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. CarrollAnkle Injury
- A. McCannInjury
- B. PottsAnkle Injury
- B. De KeersmaeckerShoulder Injury
- L. McNallyKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Preston at 35% to win and Bristol City at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Bristol City win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City Win | 37% | 34% | @ 2.75 |
| Preston Win | 35% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| Draw | 29% | 28% | @ 3.30 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bristol City or Draw at 1.50 (64% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City or Draw | 64% | 62% | @ 1.50 |
| Preston or Draw | 62% | 66% | @ 1.43 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 51% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 73% | @ 1.27 |
| Under 3.5 | 71% | 72% | @ 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 | 51% | 49% | @ 1.91 |
| Under 2.5 | 49% | 51% | @ 1.81 |
| Over 3.5 | 29% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Under 1.5 | 24% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 56%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 56% | 55% | @ 1.68 |
| BTTS No | 44% | 45% | @ 2.05 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Preston or Bristol City is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol City +1.75 | 87% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Preston +1.75 | 86% | 86% | 1.10 |
| Bristol City +1.5 | 84% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Preston +1.5 | 83% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Bristol City +1.25 | 79% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Preston +1.25 | 78% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Bristol City +1 | 74% | 78% | 1.22 |
| Preston +1 | 73% | 79% | 1.21 |
| Bristol City +0.75 | 69% | 70% | 1.35 |
| Preston +0.75 | 68% | 71% | 1.34 |
| Bristol City +0.5 | 64% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Preston +0.5 | 62% | 64% | 1.46 |
| Bristol City +0.25 | 58% | 58% | 1.66 |
| Preston +0.25 | 56% | 59% | 1.63 |
| Bristol City 0 | 51% | 49% | 1.94 |
| Preston 0 | 49% | 51% | 1.89 |
| Bristol City -0.25 | 44% | 41% | @ 2.31 |
| Preston -0.25 | 42% | 42% | 2.25 |
| Bristol City -0.5 | 38% | 36% | 2.65 |
| Preston -0.5 | 36% | 37% | 2.52 |
| Bristol City -0.75 | 32% | 29% | @ 3.29 |
| Preston -0.75 | 31% | 30% | 3.17 |
| Bristol City -1 | 27% | 21% | @ 4.53 |
| Preston -1 | 26% | 22% | @ 4.38 |
| Bristol City -1.25 | 22% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Preston -1.25 | 21% | 20% | 4.65 |
| Bristol City -1.5 | 17% | 17% | 5.50 |
| Preston -1.5 | 16% | 18% | 5.25 |
| Bristol City -1.75 | 14% | 14% | 7.00 |
| Preston -1.75 | 13% | 14% | 7.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Preston vs Bristol City?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.27, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 73%.
Who is the favourite for Preston vs Bristol City?
Our model makes a Bristol City win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.4 scoreline for Preston vs Bristol City.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Bristol City?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.38 for Preston and 1.35 for Bristol City. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Preston and Bristol City play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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