Sat 12 Sep0-1Finished

⚽ Championship

Preston vs Lincoln Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Preston vs Lincoln in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Preston 0-1 Lincoln

Preston vs Lincoln finished 0-1. Lincoln won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.35, landed.

Preston face Lincoln in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Preston have 1 win from their last 5, while Lincoln have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Preston win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Preston vs Lincoln with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

73%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.32 – 1.29 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	9.5%	6.1%	2.6%	0.8%
1	9.7%	12.5%	8.1%	3.5%	1.1%
2	6.4%	8.3%	5.3%	2.3%	0.7%
3	2.8%	3.6%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Preston winDrawLincoln win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Preston vs Lincoln comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 73% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Preston win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (53%).

📊 Key numbers

Preston 36%Draw 31%Lincoln 33%

36%31%33%

36%

Preston Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Preston

Preston come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Lincoln.

DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
LPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
LWatford 2-1 PrestonChampionship
WPreston 2-1 BlackburnChampionship
LPreston 1-3 Bristol CityChampionship

Lincoln

Lincoln come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Bristol City. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Swansea.

LLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
WBristol City 0-1 LincolnChampionship
WPreston 0-1 LincolnChampionship
LBournemouth 4-0 LincolnLeague Cup
DLincoln 1-1 SouthamptonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Preston

T. CarrollAnkle Injury
A. McCannInjury
B. PottsAnkle Injury

Lincoln

T. DarikwaKnee Injury
T. HamerHealth problems
M. MeliaThigh Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Preston at 36% to win and Lincoln at 33%, with the draw at 31%. Our model makes a Preston win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Preston Win	36%	43%	@ 2.15
Lincoln Win	33%	30%	@ 3.15
Draw	31%	27%	@ 3.45

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Preston or Draw at 1.34 (65% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Preston or Draw	65%	70%	@ 1.34
Lincoln or Draw	62%	57%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	75%	@ 1.24
Under 3.5	73%	69%	@ 1.35
Under 2.5	52%	48%	@ 1.95
Over 2.5	48%	52%	@ 1.78
Over 3.5	27%	31%	@ 3.00
Under 1.5	26%	25%	@ 3.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	53%	56%	@ 1.64
BTTS No	47%	44%	@ 2.12

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Preston or Lincoln is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Lincoln +1.75	86%	84%	1.13
Preston +1.5	85%	85%	1.12
Lincoln +1.5	83%	79%	1.20
Preston +1.25	80%	83%	1.14
Lincoln +1.25	78%	77%	1.24
Preston +1	75%	82%	1.16
Lincoln +1	72%	74%	1.28
Preston +0.75	70%	74%	1.28
Lincoln +0.75	67%	65%	1.46
Preston +0.5	65%	68%	1.41
Lincoln +0.5	62%	59%	1.61
Preston +0.25	58%	63%	1.51
Lincoln +0.25	55%	53%	@ 1.83
Preston 0	51%	56%	1.70
Lincoln 0	49%	44%	@ 2.18
Preston -0.25	45%	47%	2.04
Lincoln -0.25	42%	37%	@ 2.56
Preston -0.5	38%	41%	2.33
Lincoln -0.5	35%	32%	@ 2.94
Preston -0.75	33%	35%	2.76
Lincoln -0.75	30%	26%	@ 3.67
Preston -1	28%	26%	@ 3.66
Lincoln -1	25%	18%	@ 5.25
Preston -1.25	22%	23%	4.12
Lincoln -1.25	20%	17%	@ 5.75
Preston -1.5	17%	21%	4.40
Lincoln -1.5	15%	15%	6.25
Preston -1.75	14%	16%	5.90

📈 How the market moved

Preston 41%Draw 28%Lincoln 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Preston vs Lincoln?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 73% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Preston vs Lincoln?

Our model makes a Preston win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline for Preston vs Lincoln.

What is the predicted score for Preston vs Lincoln?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.32 for Preston and 1.29 for Lincoln. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Preston and Lincoln play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.