vs
⚽ Championship
Preston vs Wolves Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Preston vs Wolves in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Preston face Wolves in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a draw the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.3-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Preston vs Wolves with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 7.6% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 1 | 10.1% | 12.6% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 6.7% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Preston vs Wolves is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Preston with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, the selection our model is most confident in at 79%. On the match result, the model rates a draw the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.02 (+5.5% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Preston come into this game with 5 defeats from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 10. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Bolton.
- LBolton 2-1 PrestonChampionship
- LStockport County 1-0 PrestonFriendlies Clubs
- LBradford 3-2 PrestonFriendlies Clubs
- LMarine 3-0 PrestonFriendlies Clubs
- LPreston 0-1 Cambridge UnitedFriendlies Clubs
Wolves come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Port Vale. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Real Sociedad.
- DWolves 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
- WWolves 3-0 Port ValeLeague Cup
- WWolves 3-0 Racing SantanderFriendlies Clubs
- WDoncaster 0-2 WolvesFriendlies Clubs
- LWolves 1-2 Real SociedadFriendlies Clubs
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- T. CarrollAnkle Injury
- B. PottsInjury
- J. BellegardeNot in squad
- S. JohnstoneKnock
- Y. MosqueraAnkle Injury
- R. SaidNot in squad
- K. TrippierKnee Injury
- Xu BinInjury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Preston at 15% to win and Wolves at 36%, with the draw at 49%. Our model makes a draw the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 49% | @ 3.55 | +72.3% |
| Wolves Win | 36% | @ 1.83 | -33.2% |
| Preston Win | 15% | @ 4.19 | -37.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Preston or Draw at 1.94 (52% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston or Draw | 52% | @ 1.94 | +0.5% |
| Wolves or Draw | 74% | @ 1.21 | -11.1% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 | 27% | @ 3.94 | +6.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 52% | @ 2.02 | +5.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 74% | @ 1.40 | +3.4% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | @ 1.24 | -9.5% |
| Over 2.5 | 48% | @ 1.79 | -14.6% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | @ 2.94 | -23.8% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 47% | @ 2.11 | -0.2% |
| BTTS Yes | 53% | @ 1.67 | -12.1% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Preston or Wolves is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston -0.75 | 22% | @ 5.50 | +23.3% |
| Preston 0 | 39% | @ 3.09 | +21.0% |
| Preston -0.25 | 33% | @ 3.64 | +19.6% |
| Preston -0.5 | 26% | @ 4.05 | +7.4% |
| Preston +0.25 | 46% | @ 2.35 | +7.0% |
| Preston +0.5 | 52% | @ 1.98 | +2.8% |
| Wolves -2 | 17% | @ 5.90 | +2.2% |
| Preston +1.5 | 75% | @ 1.34 | +1.0% |
| Preston +0.75 | 58% | @ 1.74 | +0.5% |
| Preston +1.75 | 79% | 1.25 | -1.2% |
| Preston +1.25 | 70% | 1.42 | -1.3% |
| Preston +1 | 64% | 1.53 | -2.5% |
| Preston +2 | 83% | 1.13 | -6.6% |
| Wolves +0.5 | 74% | 1.22 | -10.1% |
| Wolves -1 | 36% | 2.47 | -10.3% |
| Wolves +0.75 | 78% | 1.15 | -10.8% |
| Wolves -0.75 | 42% | 2.10 | -11.1% |
| Wolves -0.25 | 54% | 1.61 | -12.3% |
| Wolves -1.25 | 30% | 2.88 | -12.3% |
| Wolves -0.5 | 48% | 1.81 | -12.8% |
| Wolves +0.25 | 67% | 1.28 | -13.7% |
| Wolves 0 | 61% | 1.36 | -17.1% |
| Wolves -1.75 | 21% | 3.93 | -17.6% |
| Wolves -1.5 | 25% | 3.15 | -22.4% |
🔬 How our AI model reached this pick
| Model | Match result | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| Poisson | Home | 39% |
| GradientBoosting | Draw | 56% |
Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.
Expected goals: 1.08 for the home side, 1.55 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 0-1 (9%).
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Preston vs Wolves?
Our main pick is Preston with a +1.75 start at odds 1.25, with 79% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.02 (+5.5% value).
Who is the favourite for Preston vs Wolves?
Our model makes a draw the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.2 scoreline for Preston vs Wolves.
What is the predicted score for Preston vs Wolves?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Preston and 1.25 for Wolves. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Preston and Wolves play?
Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Bologna
Lazio
Baltika
Rubin
Osasuna
Levante
Kocaelispor
Amed
AS Roma
Fiorentina
Reims
AnnecyAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.