Sat 22 Aug0-0Finished

⚽ Championship

QPR vs Bolton Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for QPR vs Bolton in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: QPR 0-0 Bolton

QPR vs Bolton finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

QPR face Bolton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Bolton win the most likely result at 54%, projecting a 1.3-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for QPR vs Bolton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Bolton +1.5 @ 1.30

94%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.33 – 1.34 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.9%	9.3%	6.2%	2.8%	0.9%
1	9.2%	12.3%	8.3%	3.7%	1.2%
2	6.1%	8.2%	5.5%	2.5%	0.8%
3	2.7%	3.6%	2.4%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.9%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

QPR winDrawBolton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for QPR vs Bolton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Bolton with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 94% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Bolton win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 54%. Goals lean under 2.5 (50%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

QPR 12%Draw 34%Bolton 54%

12%34%54%

54%

Bolton Win

50%

Under 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

QPR

QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.

DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

Bolton

Bolton come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Norwich. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to West Ham.

WNorwich 3-4 BoltonChampionship
WBolton 1-0 CardiffChampionship
LBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
LMillwall 4-0 BoltonChampionship
LSheffield Utd 3-2 BoltonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

QPR

K. DembeleKnee Injury
B. KemperAnkle Injury
R. KolliCoach's decision
J. ObikwuShin Injury

Bolton

R. RodriguesKnee Injury
X. SimonsSuspended (red card)

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices QPR at 12% to win and Bolton at 54%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a Bolton win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bolton Win	54%	25%	@ 3.75
Draw	34%	26%	@ 3.55
QPR Win	12%	49%	@ 1.90

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Bolton or Draw at 1.86 (82% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bolton or Draw	82%	51%	@ 1.86
QPR or Draw	40%	75%	@ 1.25

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 50% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	75%	75%	@ 1.24
Under 3.5	72%	70%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	50%	49%	@ 1.93
Over 2.5	50%	51%	@ 1.82
Over 3.5	28%	30%	@ 3.10
Under 1.5	25%	25%	@ 3.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	54%	@ 1.70
BTTS No	46%	46%	@ 2.02

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when QPR or Bolton is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Bolton +2	96%	85%	@ 1.12
Bolton +1.75	95%	78%	@ 1.21
Bolton +1.5	94%	72%	@ 1.30
Bolton +1.25	91%	69%	@ 1.39
Bolton +1	88%	64%	@ 1.48
Bolton +0.75	85%	56%	@ 1.71
Bolton +0.5	82%	50%	@ 1.91
Bolton +0.25	77%	42%	@ 2.25
Bolton 0	71%	33%	@ 2.86
Bolton -0.25	66%	28%	@ 3.38
QPR +1.5	65%	88%	1.03
Bolton -0.75	54%	19%	@ 5.00
QPR +0.75	46%	81%	1.17
QPR +0.5	40%	–	1.26
Bolton -1.5	35%	12%	@ 7.50
QPR +0.25	34%	72%	1.32
QPR 0	29%	67%	1.42
QPR -0.25	23%	58%	1.66
QPR -0.5	18%	50%	1.88
QPR -0.75	15%	44%	2.17
QPR -1	12%	36%	2.68
QPR -1.25	9%	31%	3.03
QPR -1.5	6%	28%	3.38
QPR -1.75	5%	22%	4.25
QPR -2	4%	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

QPR 49%Draw 26%Bolton 25%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for QPR vs Bolton?

Our model's main pick is Bolton with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 94% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for QPR vs Bolton?

Our model makes a Bolton win the most likely result at 54%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.3 scoreline for QPR vs Bolton.

What is the predicted score for QPR vs Bolton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.33 for QPR and 1.34 for Bolton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do QPR and Bolton play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.