⚽ Championship
QPR vs Middlesbrough Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for QPR vs Middlesbrough in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
Result: QPR 0-1 Middlesbrough
QPR vs Middlesbrough finished 0-1. Middlesbrough won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
QPR face Middlesbrough in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: QPR have 2 wins from their last 3, while Middlesbrough have 2 wins from their last 3. In their last 5 meetings, QPR won 1, Middlesbrough won 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 37%, projecting a 1.3-1.7 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for QPR vs Middlesbrough with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.0% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.6% |
| 1 | 6.6% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 5.1% | 2.1% |
| 2 | 4.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| 3 | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for QPR vs Middlesbrough comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is QPR with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Middlesbrough win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 37%. Goals lean over 2.5 (58%), both teams to score points yes (60%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between QPR and Middlesbrough. Wins shown from QPR’s perspective: QPR 1 · Middlesbrough 4.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | QPR | 0 – 1 | Middlesbrough | L |
| 2025-03-11 | Middlesbrough | 2 – 1 | QPR | L |
| 2024-11-05 | QPR | 1 – 4 | Middlesbrough | L |
| 2024-03-09 | QPR | 0 – 2 | Middlesbrough | L |
| 2023-09-02 | Middlesbrough | 0 – 2 | QPR | W |
📈 Recent form
QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.
- DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
- LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship
Middlesbrough come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at home to Norwich. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Crystal Palace.
- DBirmingham 2-2 MiddlesbroughChampionship
- DMiddlesbrough 2-2 MillwallChampionship
- WMiddlesbrough 4-3 NorwichChampionship
- LCrystal Palace 3-0 MiddlesbroughLeague Cup
- WQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- K. DembeleKnee Injury
- B. KemperAnkle Injury
- J. SarmientoNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices QPR at 34% to win and Middlesbrough at 37%, with the draw at 29%. Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough Win | 37% | 45% | @ 2.06 |
| QPR Win | 34% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
| Draw | 29% | 27% | @ 3.45 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Middlesbrough or Draw at 1.30 (65% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough or Draw | 65% | 72% | @ 1.30 |
| QPR or Draw | 62% | 55% | @ 1.73 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.7 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 58% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 75% | @ 1.24 |
| Under 3.5 | 65% | 69% | @ 1.35 |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 52% | @ 1.81 |
| Under 2.5 | 42% | 48% | @ 1.94 |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 31% | @ 3.00 |
| Under 1.5 | 20% | 25% | @ 3.75 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 60%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 60% | 56% | @ 1.66 |
| BTTS No | 40% | 44% | @ 2.10 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when QPR or Middlesbrough is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| QPR +1.75 | 86% | 82% | 1.16 |
| Middlesbrough +1.5 | 85% | 86% | 1.11 |
| QPR +1.5 | 83% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Middlesbrough +1.25 | 80% | 84% | 1.12 |
| QPR +1.25 | 78% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Middlesbrough +1 | 75% | 83% | 1.14 |
| QPR +1 | 72% | 71% | 1.33 |
| Middlesbrough +0.75 | 70% | 76% | 1.25 |
| QPR +0.75 | 67% | 63% | @ 1.51 |
| Middlesbrough +0.5 | 65% | 70% | 1.36 |
| QPR +0.5 | 62% | 56% | @ 1.70 |
| Middlesbrough +0.25 | 58% | 65% | 1.47 |
| QPR +0.25 | 55% | 49% | @ 1.96 |
| Middlesbrough 0 | 51% | 60% | 1.60 |
| QPR 0 | 49% | 40% | @ 2.36 |
| Middlesbrough -0.25 | 45% | 51% | 1.92 |
| QPR -0.25 | 42% | 35% | @ 2.73 |
| Middlesbrough -0.5 | 38% | 44% | 2.18 |
| QPR -0.5 | 35% | 30% | @ 3.13 |
| Middlesbrough -0.75 | 33% | 37% | 2.55 |
| QPR -0.75 | 30% | 24% | @ 3.95 |
| Middlesbrough -1 | 28% | 29% | 3.31 |
| QPR -1 | 25% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
| Middlesbrough -1.25 | 22% | 26% | 3.66 |
| QPR -1.25 | 20% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Middlesbrough -1.5 | 17% | 24% | 4.00 |
| QPR -1.5 | 15% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
| Middlesbrough -1.75 | 14% | 18% | 5.25 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for QPR vs Middlesbrough?
Our model's main pick is QPR with a +1.25 start at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for QPR vs Middlesbrough?
Our model makes a Middlesbrough win the most likely result at 37%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.7 scoreline for QPR vs Middlesbrough.
What is the predicted score for QPR vs Middlesbrough?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.33 for QPR and 1.67 for Middlesbrough. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do QPR and Middlesbrough play?
Kick-off is Saturday 05 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Benevento
Catanzaro
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Cesena
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Mantova
CremoneseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.