Sat 24 Oct14:00Upcoming

⚽ Championship

QPR vs Swansea Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for QPR vs Swansea in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

QPR face Swansea in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: QPR have 1 win from their last 5, while Swansea have 4 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, QPR won 1, Swansea won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Swansea win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.2-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for QPR vs Swansea with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.30

73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.16 – 1.34 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	11.0%	7.4%	3.3%	1.1%
1	9.5%	12.8%	8.5%	3.8%	1.3%
2	5.5%	7.4%	5.0%	2.2%	0.7%
3	2.1%	2.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%
4	0.6%	0.8%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

QPR winDrawSwansea win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for QPR vs Swansea comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a Swansea win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean under 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (50%).

📊 Key numbers

QPR 34%Draw 30%Swansea 36%

34%30%36%

36%

Swansea Win

54%

Under 2.5 goals

50%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between QPR and Swansea. Wins shown from QPR’s perspective: QPR 1 · 1 drawn · Swansea 3.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-04-21	QPR	1 – 2	Swansea	L
2025-04-21	QPR	1 – 2	Swansea	L
2024-12-26	Swansea	3 – 0	QPR	L
2024-04-01	Swansea	0 – 1	QPR	W
2023-09-19	QPR	1 – 1	Swansea	D

📈 Recent form

QPR

QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Derby. Their only defeat in that run was 0-3 at Birmingham.

LBirmingham 3-0 QPRChampionship
WQPR 4-1 DerbyChampionship
DWest Ham 1-1 QPRChampionship
DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship

Swansea

Swansea come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Burnley. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to West Ham.

LSwansea 0-1 West HamChampionship
WMillwall 0-1 SwanseaChampionship
WSwansea 2-1 NorwichChampionship
WLincoln 1-2 SwanseaChampionship
WSwansea 3-1 BurnleyChampionship

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices QPR at 34% to win and Swansea at 36%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Swansea win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Swansea Win	36%	31%	@ 2.90
QPR Win	34%	41%	@ 2.25
Draw	30%	28%	@ 3.25

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Swansea or Draw at 1.53 (64% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Swansea or Draw	64%	59%	@ 1.53
QPR or Draw	62%	69%	@ 1.36

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	76%	72%	@ 1.33
Over 1.5	71%	73%	@ 1.30
Under 2.5	54%	50%	@ 1.91
Over 2.5	46%	50%	@ 1.91
Under 1.5	29%	27%	@ 3.50
Over 3.5	24%	28%	@ 3.40

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 50%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	50%	54%	@ 1.73
BTTS No	50%	46%	@ 2.00

📈 How the market moved

QPR 39%Draw 28%Swansea 32%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for QPR vs Swansea?

Our pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for QPR vs Swansea?

Our model makes a Swansea win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.2-1.3 scoreline for QPR vs Swansea.

What is the predicted score for QPR vs Swansea?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.16 for QPR and 1.34 for Swansea. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do QPR and Swansea play?

Kick-off is Saturday 24 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.