⚽ Süper Lig

Rizespor vs Samsunspor Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rizespor vs Samsunspor in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Rizespor face Samsunspor in the Süper Lig, kicking off Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rizespor win the most likely result at 45%, projecting a 2.6-2.5 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rizespor vs Samsunspor with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.70

88%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.64 – 2.46 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	0.6%	1.5%	1.8%	1.5%	0.9%
1	1.6%	4.0%	4.9%	4.0%	2.5%
2	2.1%	5.2%	6.4%	5.3%	3.2%
3	1.9%	4.6%	5.7%	4.6%	2.9%
4	1.2%	3.0%	3.7%	3.1%	1.9%

Projected score: 2-2

Rizespor winDrawSamsunspor win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Rizespor vs Samsunspor is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.70, the selection our model is most confident in at 88%. On the match result, the model rates a Rizespor win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 45%. Goals lean over 2.5 (88%), both teams to score points yes (82%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.80 (+109.5% model value).

Best value

Over 3.5 at odds 2.80, 75% model probability, +109.5% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Rizespor 45%Draw 16%Samsunspor 39%

45%16%39%

45%

Rizespor Win

88%

Over 2.5 goals

82%

BTTS yes

+109.5%

Best value: Over 3.5

📈 Recent form

Rizespor

Rizespor come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at NK Osijek. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Hull City.

WKonyaspor 0-1 RizesporSüper Lig
WRizespor 2-1 Pyramids FCFriendlies Clubs
DRizespor 0-0 AbhaFriendlies Clubs
LRizespor 1-2 Hull CityFriendlies Clubs
WNK Osijek 1-3 RizesporFriendlies Clubs

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at KVC Westerlo. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Dunkerque.

DSamsunspor 3-3 GöztepeSüper Lig
WKVC Westerlo 1-2 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs
WAEK Athens FC 1-2 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs
DRAAL La Louvière 0-0 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs
LDunkerque 2-1 SamsunsporFriendlies Clubs

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 7 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Rizespor

K. AlikulovKnee Injury
F. OrakNot in squad

Samsunspor

J. AssoumouNot in squad
Y. E. CiftNot in squad
T. CoulibalyNot in squad
I. DrapinskiNot in squad
E. TavsanNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Rizespor at 45% to win and Samsunspor at 39%, with the draw at 16%. Our model makes a Rizespor win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Samsunspor Win	39%	@ 3.10	+20.6%
Rizespor Win	45%	@ 2.12	-4.6%
Draw	16%	@ 3.60	-42.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Samsunspor or Draw at 1.70 (60% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Samsunspor or Draw	60%	@ 1.70	+2.2%
Rizespor or Draw	66%	@ 1.35	-10.6%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.6-2.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 88% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	75%	@ 2.80	+109.5%
Over 2.5	88%	@ 1.70	+50.1%
Over 1.5	96%	@ 1.22	+17.4%
Under 3.5	25%	@ 1.42	-64.2%
Under 2.5	12%	@ 2.10	-75.4%
Under 1.5	4%	@ 4.20	-84.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 82%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	82%	@ 1.60	+30.8%
BTTS No	18%	@ 2.20	-59.8%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	66%
Dixon-Coles	Away	59%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.36 for the home side, 1.23 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 2-3 (6%), 1-3 (6%), 2-2 (6%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.70, with 88% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.80 (+109.5% value).

Who is the favourite for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

Our model makes a Rizespor win the most likely result at 45%. It projects an expected 2.6-2.5 scoreline for Rizespor vs Samsunspor.

What is the predicted score for Rizespor vs Samsunspor?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-2, based on expected goals of 2.64 for Rizespor and 2.46 for Samsunspor. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Rizespor and Samsunspor play?

Kick-off is Saturday 22 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.