Rodez
Grenoble⚽ Ligue 2
Rodez vs Grenoble Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rodez vs Grenoble in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Rodez 0-1 Grenoble
Rodez vs Grenoble finished 0-1. Grenoble won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.73, did not land.
Rodez face Grenoble in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 18:00 UTC. Recent form: Rodez have 2 wins from their last 5, while Grenoble have 1 win from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rodez win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 2.1-1.4 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rodez vs Grenoble with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 6.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.3% | 9.2% | 6.7% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Rodez vs Grenoble comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Grenoble with a +1.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Rodez win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (69%), both teams to score points yes (67%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Rodez come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Nantes. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Nancy.
- LRodez 3-4 NancyLigue 2
- LRodez 0-1 GrenobleLigue 2
- LMetz 4-1 RodezLigue 2
- DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
- WNantes 2-5 RodezLigue 2
Grenoble come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Laval. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Annecy.
- DGrenoble 1-1 Clermont FootLigue 2
- WRodez 0-1 GrenobleLigue 2
- LGrenoble 1-2 AnnecyLigue 2
- WLaval 0-3 GrenobleLigue 2
- LSaint Etienne 4-0 GrenobleLigue 2
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Rodez at 51% to win and Grenoble at 26%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Rodez win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez Win | 51% | 56% | @ 1.67 |
| Grenoble Win | 26% | 19% | @ 4.80 |
| Draw | 23% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rodez or Draw at 1.15 (75% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez or Draw | 75% | 81% | @ 1.15 |
| Grenoble or Draw | 50% | 44% | @ 2.06 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 69% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 87% | 76% | @ 1.21 |
| Over 2.5 | 69% | 53% | @ 1.73 |
| Under 3.5 | 53% | 68% | @ 1.35 |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 32% | @ 2.88 |
| Under 2.5 | 31% | 47% | @ 1.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 13% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 67% | 53% | @ 1.71 |
| BTTS No | 33% | 47% | @ 1.95 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Rodez or Grenoble is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grenoble +2 | 82% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Rodez +0.75 | 79% | 84% | 1.12 |
| Grenoble +1.75 | 78% | 74% | 1.28 |
| Rodez +0.5 | 75% | 79% | 1.19 |
| Grenoble +1.5 | 74% | 68% | @ 1.40 |
| Rodez +0.25 | 69% | 77% | 1.23 |
| Grenoble +1.25 | 68% | 64% | @ 1.49 |
| Rodez 0 | 62% | 73% | 1.29 |
| Grenoble +1 | 62% | 58% | @ 1.64 |
| Grenoble +0.75 | 56% | 51% | @ 1.90 |
| Rodez -0.25 | 56% | 63% | 1.51 |
| Grenoble +0.5 | 50% | 45% | @ 2.12 |
| Rodez -0.5 | 50% | 55% | 1.72 |
| Rodez -0.75 | 44% | 49% | 1.94 |
| Grenoble +0.25 | 44% | 37% | @ 2.56 |
| Rodez -1 | 38% | 42% | 2.29 |
| Grenoble 0 | 38% | 27% | @ 3.58 |
| Rodez -1.25 | 32% | 36% | 2.63 |
| Grenoble -0.25 | 31% | 23% | @ 4.16 |
| Rodez -1.5 | 26% | 32% | 2.92 |
| Grenoble -0.5 | 25% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
| Rodez -1.75 | 22% | 26% | 3.63 |
| Grenoble -0.75 | 21% | 16% | @ 6.00 |
| Rodez -2 | 18% | 19% | 5.00 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rodez vs Grenoble?
Our model's main pick is Grenoble with a +1.75 start at odds 1.28, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 74%.
Who is the favourite for Rodez vs Grenoble?
Our model makes a Rodez win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline for Rodez vs Grenoble.
What is the predicted score for Rodez vs Grenoble?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.10 for Rodez and 1.45 for Grenoble. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Rodez and Grenoble play?
Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
