vs
⚽ Ligue 2
Rodez vs PAU Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Rodez vs PAU in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
Result: Rodez 2-2 PAU
Rodez vs PAU finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Rodez Asian Handicap to win by 0+ goals at 1.45, was a half-loss.
Rodez face PAU in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Rodez win the most likely result at 82%, projecting a 3.4-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Rodez vs PAU with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| 1 | 4.2% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 2 | 7.1% | 7.2% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 8.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 6.7% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Rodez vs PAU is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Rodez Asian Handicap to win by 0+ goals at odds 1.45, the selection our model is most confident in at 83%. On the match result, the model rates a Rodez win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 82%. Goals lean over 2.5 (81%), both teams to score points yes (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.75 (+75.0% model value).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Rodez come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 5-2 at Nantes. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at Annecy.
- DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
- WNantes 2-5 RodezLigue 2
- LAnnecy 2-0 RodezLigue 2
- WRodez 3-1 LavalLigue 2
- LMontpellier 4-2 RodezFriendlies Clubs
PAU come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Dijon. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Nancy.
- DRodez 2-2 PAULigue 2
- LPAU 0-1 NancyLigue 2
- WDijon 0-1 PAULigue 2
- LPAU 0-1 AnnecyLigue 2
- LPAU 1-2 Real UniónFriendlies Clubs
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Rodez at 82% to win and PAU at 7%, with the draw at 12%. Our model makes a Rodez win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez Win | 82% | @ 1.67 | +36.0% |
| Draw | 12% | @ 3.80 | -55.7% |
| PAU Win | 7% | @ 4.80 | -66.9% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Rodez or Draw at 1.17 (93% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez or Draw | 93% | @ 1.17 | +8.9% |
| PAU or Draw | 20% | @ 2.15 | -57.5% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 3.4-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 81% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 3.5 | 64% | @ 2.75 | +75.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 81% | @ 1.70 | +37.9% |
| Over 1.5 | 93% | @ 1.22 | +13.5% |
| Under 3.5 | 36% | @ 1.44 | -47.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 19% | @ 2.10 | -60.3% |
| Under 1.5 | 7% | @ 4.00 | -72.2% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | @ 1.67 | +2.4% |
| BTTS No | 39% | @ 2.05 | -20.6% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Rodez or PAU is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rodez -1.25 | 65% | @ 2.33 | +50.8% |
| Rodez -1 | 70% | @ 2.10 | +47.1% |
| Rodez -0.75 | 75% | @ 1.84 | +38.4% |
| Rodez -0.5 | 80% | @ 1.66 | +32.9% |
| Rodez -0.25 | 83% | @ 1.45 | +21.0% |
| Rodez +0.5 | 93% | @ 1.22 | +13.8% |
| Rodez 0 | 87% | @ 1.27 | +10.0% |
| Rodez +0.25 | 90% | @ 1.22 | +9.6% |
| Rodez +0.75 | 94% | @ 1.13 | +6.5% |
| PAU +2 | 52% | 1.18 | -39.1% |
| PAU +1.75 | 46% | 1.30 | -40.2% |
| PAU +1.5 | 40% | 1.43 | -42.2% |
| PAU +1.25 | 35% | 1.51 | -46.5% |
| PAU +1 | 30% | 1.67 | -49.8% |
| PAU +0.75 | 25% | 1.92 | -52.1% |
| PAU 0 | 13% | 3.35 | -55.2% |
| PAU +0.5 | 20% | 2.11 | -58.2% |
| PAU +0.25 | 17% | 2.50 | -58.6% |
| PAU -0.25 | 10% | 3.73 | -62.2% |
| PAU -0.75 | 6% | 5.90 | -66.3% |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Rodez vs PAU?
Our main pick is Rodez Asian Handicap to win by 0+ goals at odds 1.45, with 83% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.75 (+75.0% value).
Who is the favourite for Rodez vs PAU?
Our model makes a Rodez win the most likely result at 82%. It projects an expected 3.4-1.0 scoreline for Rodez vs PAU.
What is the predicted score for Rodez vs PAU?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 3-1, based on expected goals of 3.38 for Rodez and 1.01 for PAU. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Rodez and PAU play?
Kick-off is Friday 28 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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CharlotteAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.