vs
⚽ UEFA Champions League
Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 14 July 2026, 16:00 UTC.
Result: Saburtalo 2-2 Flora Tallinn
Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn finished 2-2. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, over 2.5 goals at 1.57, landed.
Saburtalo face Flora Tallinn in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 14 July 2026, 16:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Saburtalo win the most likely result at 49%, projecting a 1.6-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.4% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 8.6% | 11.4% | 7.6% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 6.8% | 9.1% | 6.0% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
Our prediction for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a Saburtalo win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 49%. Goals lean over 2.5 (72%), both teams to score points yes (63%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is Flora Tallinn or Draw at odds 2.38 (+22.3% model value).
Key numbers
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Saburtalo at 49% to win and Flora Tallinn at 24%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Saburtalo win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn Win | 24% | 5.10 | +20.1% |
| Draw | 28% | 4.20 | +16.9% |
| Saburtalo Win | 49% | 1.53 | -25.6% |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Flora Tallinn or Draw at 2.38 (51% model).
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn or Draw | 51% | 2.38 | +22.3% |
| Saburtalo or Draw | 76% | 1.10 | -15.9% |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 72% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 | 72% | 1.55 | +11.2% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 1.17 | -3.0% |
| Over 3.5 | 40% | 2.40 | -4.6% |
| Under 3.5 | 60% | 1.53 | -7.8% |
| Under 1.5 | 17% | 4.75 | -18.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 28% | 2.35 | -33.6% |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 63% | 1.60 | +0.3% |
| BTTS No | 37% | 2.10 | -21.6% |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Saburtalo or Flora Tallinn is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Odds | Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flora Tallinn -0.75 | 62% | 6.25 | +286.5% |
| Flora Tallinn -0.5 | 56% | 4.45 | +151.3% |
| Flora Tallinn +0.25 | 38% | 2.83 | +7.7% |
| Saburtalo +0.75 | 72% | 1.12 | -18.8% |
| Saburtalo +0.5 | 68% | 1.18 | -20.1% |
| Saburtalo +0.25 | 62% | 1.27 | -21.1% |
| Flora Tallinn +0.5 | 32% | 2.31 | -26.2% |
| Saburtalo +0 | 56% | 1.28 | -28.6% |
| Saburtalo -0.25 | 50% | 1.41 | -30.0% |
| Saburtalo -0.5 | 44% | 1.57 | -31.5% |
| Saburtalo -0.75 | 38% | 1.69 | -35.5% |
| Saburtalo -1 | 33% | 1.88 | -38.3% |
| Saburtalo -1.25 | 27% | 2.15 | -40.9% |
| Flora Tallinn +0.75 | 28% | 2.13 | -41.2% |
| Saburtalo -2 | 16% | 3.55 | -44.9% |
| Saburtalo -1.75 | 19% | 2.85 | -46.4% |
| Saburtalo -1.5 | 22% | 2.41 | -46.8% |
| Flora Tallinn +1 | 23% | 1.89 | -56.4% |
| Flora Tallinn +1.25 | 19% | 1.68 | -68.8% |
| Flora Tallinn +1.5 | 14% | 1.53 | -78.5% |
| Flora Tallinn +1.75 | 12% | 1.40 | -83.5% |
| Flora Tallinn +2 | 10% | 1.27 | -87.9% |
Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?
Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.57, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is Flora Tallinn or Draw at 2.38 (+22.3% value).
Who is the favourite for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?
Our model makes a Saburtalo win the most likely result at 49%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.3 scoreline for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn.
What is the predicted score for Saburtalo vs Flora Tallinn?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 1.59 for Saburtalo and 1.33 for Flora Tallinn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Saburtalo and Flora Tallinn play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 14 July 2026, 16:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
More predictions
Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.