Sat 12 Sep1-5Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Samsunspor 1-5 Çorum FK

Samsunspor vs Çorum FK finished 1-5. Çorum FK won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 1.5 goals at 1.29, landed.

Samsunspor face Çorum FK in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: Samsunspor have 1 win from their last 4, while Çorum FK have 1 win from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.29

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.15 – 1.44 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.8%	4.0%	2.9%	1.4%	0.5%
1	5.9%	8.5%	6.2%	3.0%	1.1%
2	6.4%	9.2%	6.6%	3.2%	1.1%
3	4.6%	6.6%	4.7%	2.3%	0.8%
4	2.5%	3.5%	2.5%	1.2%	0.4%

Projected score: 2-1

Samsunspor winDrawÇorum FK win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 87% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (70%), both teams to score points yes (67%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

70%

Over 2.5 goals

67%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Rizespor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

LErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 1-5 Çorum FKSüper Lig
LKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WRizespor 0-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig

Çorum FK

Çorum FK come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at Samsunspor. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Alanyaspor.

LÇorum FK 1-2 AlanyasporSüper Lig
WSamsunspor 1-5 Çorum FKSüper Lig
WÇorum FK 3-0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
LBeşiktaş 6-2 Çorum FKSüper Lig
LÇorum FK 0-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Samsunspor

J. AssoumouNot in squad
T. CoulibalyNot in squad
F. KayaInjury
A. SousaNot in squad
E. TavsanNot in squad
E. WattNot in squad

Çorum FK

No absentees reported.

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Samsunspor or Draw at 1.25 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Samsunspor or Draw	76%	73%	@ 1.25
Çorum FK or Draw	48%	55%	@ 1.67

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.1-1.4 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 70% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	87%	71%	@ 1.29
Over 2.5	70%	47%	@ 1.96
Under 3.5	52%	73%	@ 1.25
Over 3.5	48%	27%	@ 3.45
Under 2.5	30%	53%	@ 1.73
Under 1.5	13%	29%	@ 3.20

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 67%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	67%	52%	@ 1.77
BTTS No	33%	48%	@ 1.91

📈 How the market moved

Samsunspor 43%Draw 29%Çorum FK 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Çorum FK?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.15 for Samsunspor and 1.44 for Çorum FK. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Samsunspor and Çorum FK play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.