Sun 30 Aug0-2Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Samsunspor 0-2 Fenerbahçe

Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe finished 0-2. Fenerbahçe won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Samsunspor face Fenerbahçe in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC. Recent form: Samsunspor have 3 wins from their last 5, while Fenerbahçe have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely result at 44%, projecting a 2.4-2.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.56

87%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.38 – 2.57 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	0.7%	1.8%	2.3%	2.0%	1.3%
1	1.7%	4.3%	5.6%	4.8%	3.1%
2	2.0%	5.2%	6.6%	5.7%	3.6%
3	1.6%	4.1%	5.3%	4.5%	2.9%
4	0.9%	2.4%	3.1%	2.7%	1.7%

Projected score: 2-2

Samsunspor winDrawFenerbahçe win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.56, with a 87% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Fenerbahçe win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 44%. Goals lean over 2.5 (87%), both teams to score points yes (82%).

📊 Key numbers

Samsunspor 38%Draw 18%Fenerbahçe 44%

38%18%44%

44%

Fenerbahçe Win

87%

Over 2.5 goals

82%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Samsunspor

Samsunspor come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at Rizespor. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Erzurumspor FK.

LErzurumspor FK 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 1-5 Çorum FKSüper Lig
LKocaelispor 1-0 SamsunsporSüper Lig
LSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
WRizespor 0-2 SamsunsporSüper Lig

Fenerbahçe

Fenerbahçe come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 8-0 at home to Eyüpspor. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at home to Beşiktaş.

WFenerbahçe 8-0 EyüpsporSüper Lig
DGaziantep FK 0-0 FenerbahçeSüper Lig
DFenerbahçe 1-1 AS RomaUEFA Champions League
LFenerbahçe 1-2 BeşiktaşSüper Lig
WSamsunspor 0-2 FenerbahçeSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Samsunspor

J. AssoumouNot in squad
T. CoulibalyNot in squad
MariusNot in squad
E. TavsanNot in squad

Fenerbahçe

K. AkturkogluConcussion
M. AsensioMuscle Injury
J. OosterwoldeAchilles Tendon Injury
C. SoyuncuInjury
TaliscaNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Samsunspor at 38% to win and Fenerbahçe at 44%, with the draw at 18%. Our model makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fenerbahçe Win	44%	62%	@ 1.52
Samsunspor Win	38%	17%	@ 5.50
Draw	18%	21%	@ 4.40

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Fenerbahçe or Draw at 1.11 (66% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Fenerbahçe or Draw	66%	83%	@ 1.11
Samsunspor or Draw	60%	38%	@ 2.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.4-2.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 87% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	96%	79%	@ 1.17
Over 2.5	87%	59%	@ 1.56
Over 3.5	73%	38%	@ 2.40
Under 3.5	27%	62%	@ 1.48
Under 2.5	13%	41%	@ 2.23
Under 1.5	4%	21%	@ 4.30

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 82%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	82%	56%	@ 1.65
BTTS No	18%	44%	@ 2.06

📈 How the market moved

Samsunspor 18%Draw 22%Fenerbahçe 59%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Our model's main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.56, with a 87% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

Who is the favourite for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?

Our model makes a Fenerbahçe win the most likely result at 44%. It projects an expected 2.4-2.6 scoreline for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe.

What is the predicted score for Samsunspor vs Fenerbahçe?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-2, based on expected goals of 2.38 for Samsunspor and 2.57 for Fenerbahçe. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Samsunspor and Fenerbahçe play?

Kick-off is Sunday 30 August 2026, 18:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.