Mon 14 Sep1-0Finished

⚽ Primeira Liga

SC Braga vs Estoril Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SC Braga vs Estoril in the Primeira Liga. Kick-off Monday 14 September 2026, 19:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: SC Braga 1-0 Estoril

SC Braga vs Estoril finished 1-0. SC Braga won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.75, did not land.

SC Braga face Estoril in the upcoming Primeira Liga tips, kicking off Monday 14 September 2026, 19:15 UTC. Recent form: SC Braga have 2 wins from their last 3, while Estoril have no wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, SC Braga won 2, Estoril won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SC Braga win the most likely result at 61%, projecting a 2.2-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SC Braga vs Estoril with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Estoril +2 @ 1.32

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 2.25 – 1.23 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	3.1%	3.8%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%
1	6.9%	8.5%	5.2%	2.1%	0.7%
2	7.8%	9.6%	5.9%	2.4%	0.7%
3	5.8%	7.2%	4.4%	1.8%	0.6%
4	3.3%	4.0%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%

Projected score: 2-1

SC Braga winDrawEstoril win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SC Braga vs Estoril comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Estoril with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 71% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a SC Braga win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 61%. Goals lean over 2.5 (68%), both teams to score points yes (63%).

📊 Key numbers

SC Braga 61%Draw 26%Estoril 13%

61%26%13%

61%

SC Braga Win

68%

Over 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between SC Braga and Estoril. Wins shown from SC Braga’s perspective: SC Braga 2 · 2 drawn · Estoril 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-14	SC Braga	1 – 0	Estoril	W
2026-05-03	SC Braga	1 – 1	Estoril	D
2025-12-19	Estoril	1 – 0	SC Braga	L
2025-04-19	Estoril	0 – 2	SC Braga	W
2024-12-06	SC Braga	2 – 2	Estoril	D

📈 Recent form

SC Braga

SC Braga come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Estoril. Their only defeat in that run was 1-2 at Estrela da Amadora.

DSanta Clara 0-0 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
WSC Braga 1-0 EstorilPrimeira Liga
LEstrela da Amadora 2-1 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
WAlverca 1-2 SC BragaPrimeira Liga
WSC Braga 1-0 Vitória SCPrimeira Liga

Estoril

Estoril come into this game with no wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 7. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Casa Pia.

LEstoril 1-2 Casa PiaPrimeira Liga
LSC Braga 1-0 EstorilPrimeira Liga
DEstoril 0-0 AroucaPrimeira Liga
LBenfica 2-1 EstorilPrimeira Liga
LEstoril 0-2 Rio AvePrimeira Liga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SC Braga at 61% to win and Estoril at 13%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a SC Braga win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Braga Win	61%	62%	@ 1.52
Draw	26%	23%	@ 4.10
Estoril Win	13%	15%	@ 6.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SC Braga or Draw at 1.10 (84% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Braga or Draw	84%	85%	@ 1.10
Estoril or Draw	36%	38%	@ 2.33

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 68% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	86%	76%	@ 1.21
Over 2.5	68%	53%	@ 1.75
Under 3.5	54%	68%	@ 1.34
Over 3.5	46%	32%	@ 2.90
Under 2.5	32%	47%	@ 1.94
Under 1.5	14%	24%	@ 3.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	63%	50%	@ 1.84
BTTS No	37%	50%	@ 1.83

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when SC Braga or Estoril is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SC Braga +0.5	84%	86%	1.10
SC Braga +0.25	79%	85%	1.12
SC Braga 0	74%	83%	1.14
Estoril +2	71%	72%	1.32
SC Braga -0.25	69%	74%	1.29
Estoril +1.75	66%	64%	1.49
SC Braga -0.5	63%	66%	1.44
Estoril +1.5	61%	58%	@ 1.65
SC Braga -0.75	57%	62%	1.54
Estoril +1.25	55%	51%	@ 1.89
SC Braga -1	51%	56%	1.71
Estoril +1	49%	44%	@ 2.16
SC Braga -1.25	45%	49%	1.99
Estoril +0.75	43%	38%	@ 2.50
SC Braga -1.5	39%	42%	2.27
Estoril +0.5	36%	34%	@ 2.83
SC Braga -1.75	34%	36%	2.65
Estoril +0.25	31%	26%	@ 3.65
SC Braga -2	29%	28%	3.42
Estoril 0	26%	17%	@ 5.75
Estoril -0.25	21%	15%	@ 6.25
Estoril -0.5	16%	14%	@ 6.80

📈 How the market moved

SC Braga 66%Draw 20%Estoril 13%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SC Braga vs Estoril?

Our model's main pick is Estoril with a +2 start at odds 1.32, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.

Who is the favourite for SC Braga vs Estoril?

Our model makes a SC Braga win the most likely result at 61%. It projects an expected 2.2-1.2 scoreline for SC Braga vs Estoril.

What is the predicted score for SC Braga vs Estoril?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 2-1, based on expected goals of 2.25 for SC Braga and 1.23 for Estoril. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SC Braga and Estoril play?

Kick-off is Monday 14 September 2026, 19:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.