Shakhtar Donetsk

Sat 29 Aug0-2Finished

Polessya

⚽ Premier League

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya in the Premier League. Kick-off Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Shakhtar Donetsk 0-2 Polessya

Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya finished 0-2. Polessya won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Shakhtar Donetsk face Polessya in the Premier League, kicking off Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC. Recent form: Shakhtar Donetsk have 4 wins from their last 5, while Polessya have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, Shakhtar Donetsk won 1, Polessya won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely result at 52%, projecting a 1.7-1.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.36

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.70 – 1.07 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6.3%	6.7%	3.6%	1.3%	0.3%
1	10.7%	11.4%	6.1%	2.2%	0.6%
2	9.1%	9.7%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.1%	5.5%	2.9%	1.0%	0.3%
4	2.2%	2.3%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Shakhtar Donetsk winDrawPolessya win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 52%. Goals lean over 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

📊 Key numbers

Shakhtar Donetsk 52%Draw 25%Polessya 23%

52%25%23%

52%

Shakhtar Donetsk Win

52%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya. Wins shown from Shakhtar Donetsk’s perspective: Shakhtar Donetsk 1 · Polessya 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-29	Shakhtar Donetsk	0 – 2	Polessya	L
2026-04-20	Shakhtar Donetsk	1 – 0	Polessya	W

📈 Recent form

Shakhtar Donetsk

Shakhtar Donetsk come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to LNZ Cherkasy. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at home to Polessya.

WShakhtar Donetsk 3-0 LNZ CherkasyPremier League
WShakhtar Donetsk 2-0 ChornomoretsPremier League
DPSV Eindhoven 1-1 Shakhtar DonetskUEFA Champions League
WKarpaty 1-2 Shakhtar DonetskPremier League
LShakhtar Donetsk 0-2 PolessyaPremier League

Polessya

Polessya come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 2. Their biggest win in that run was 5-1 at home to Kudrivka. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Livyi Bereh.

WPolessya 1-0 Kryvbas KRPremier League
LLivyi Bereh 1-0 PolessyaPremier League
WPolessya 2-0 KudrivkaCup
WPolessya 5-1 KudrivkaPremier League
WShakhtar Donetsk 0-2 PolessyaPremier League

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Shakhtar Donetsk at 52% to win and Polessya at 23%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Shakhtar Donetsk Win	52%	52%	@ 1.73
Draw	25%	26%	@ 3.40
Polessya Win	23%	21%	@ 4.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw at 1.17 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Shakhtar Donetsk or Draw	76%	79%	@ 1.17
Polessya or Draw	48%	48%	@ 1.91

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	76%	69%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	70%	75%	@ 1.25
Over 2.5	52%	45%	@ 2.10
Under 2.5	48%	55%	@ 1.70
Over 3.5	30%	25%	@ 3.75
Under 1.5	24%	31%	@ 3.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	46%	@ 2.00
BTTS No	46%	54%	@ 1.73

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

Our model makes a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely result at 52%. It projects an expected 1.7-1.1 scoreline for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya.

What is the predicted score for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Polessya?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.70 for Shakhtar Donetsk and 1.07 for Polessya. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Shakhtar Donetsk and Polessya play?

Kick-off is Saturday 29 August 2026, 15:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.