Shamrock Rovers
Ararat-Armenia⚽ UEFA Champions League
Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia in the UEFA Champions League. Kick-off Tuesday 28 July 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Shamrock Rovers 2-1 Ararat-Armenia
Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia finished 2-1. Shamrock Rovers won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Our pre-match best bet, Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at 1.38, landed.
Shamrock Rovers face Ararat-Armenia in the upcoming UEFA Champions League tips, kicking off Tuesday 28 July 2026, 19:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Shamrock Rovers won 1, Ararat-Armenia won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely result at 36%, projecting a 1.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 1 | 8.0% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| 2 | 7.2% | 9.5% | 6.2% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| 3 | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| 4 | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.38, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 36%. Goals lean over 2.5 (60%), both teams to score points yes (61%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 2 meetings between Shamrock Rovers and Ararat-Armenia. Wins shown from Shamrock Rovers’s perspective: Shamrock Rovers 1 · Ararat-Armenia 1.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 | Shamrock Rovers | 2 – 1 | Ararat-Armenia | W |
| 2026-07-21 | Ararat-Armenia | 2 – 0 | Shamrock Rovers | L |
📈 Recent form
Shamrock Rovers come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Waterford. Their most recent defeat was 0-2 at St Patrick's Athl..
- WShamrock Rovers 3-2 WaterfordPremier Division
- LSt Patrick's Athl. 2-0 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
- DShamrock Rovers 0-0 ShelbournePremier Division
- DDerry City 3-3 Shamrock RoversPremier Division
- LKuPS 1-0 Shamrock RoversUEFA Europa Conference
Ararat-Armenia come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Syunik. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at home to Sparta Praha.
- WShirak 1-3 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
- LArarat-Armenia 1-4 Sparta PrahaUEFA Europa League
- WArarat-Armenia 3-0 SyunikPremier League
- WArarat 0-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
- LPyunik Yerevan 2-1 Ararat-ArmeniaPremier League
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Shamrock Rovers at 36% to win and Ararat-Armenia at 36%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers Win | 36% | 52% | @ 1.78 |
| Ararat-Armenia Win | 36% | 22% | @ 4.20 |
| Draw | 28% | 26% | @ 3.55 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Shamrock Rovers or Draw at 1.18 (69% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shamrock Rovers or Draw | 69% | 78% | @ 1.18 |
| Ararat-Armenia or Draw | 56% | 48% | @ 1.90 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 60% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 75% | @ 1.23 |
| Under 3.5 | 62% | 68% | @ 1.34 |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 52% | @ 1.76 |
| Under 2.5 | 40% | 48% | @ 1.91 |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
| Under 1.5 | 18% | 25% | @ 3.60 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 61%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 61% | 54% | @ 1.70 |
| BTTS No | 39% | 46% | @ 1.98 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Shamrock Rovers or Ararat-Armenia is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ararat-Armenia +2 | 84% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.75 | 81% | 75% | @ 1.26 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.5 | 78% | 69% | @ 1.38 |
| Shamrock Rovers +0.75 | 73% | 81% | 1.17 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1.25 | 72% | 65% | @ 1.45 |
| Shamrock Rovers +0.5 | 69% | 75% | 1.25 |
| Ararat-Armenia +1 | 67% | 60% | @ 1.56 |
| Shamrock Rovers +0.25 | 63% | 72% | 1.30 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.75 | 61% | 53% | @ 1.79 |
| Shamrock Rovers 0 | 56% | 69% | 1.37 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.5 | 56% | 47% | @ 1.98 |
| Shamrock Rovers -0.25 | 50% | 60% | 1.58 |
| Ararat-Armenia +0.25 | 50% | 40% | @ 2.36 |
| Shamrock Rovers -0.5 | 44% | 53% | 1.78 |
| Ararat-Armenia 0 | 44% | 31% | @ 3.02 |
| Shamrock Rovers -0.75 | 39% | 47% | 2.02 |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.25 | 37% | 28% | @ 3.42 |
| Shamrock Rovers -1 | 33% | 40% | 2.38 |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.5 | 31% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Shamrock Rovers -1.25 | 28% | 35% | 2.69 |
| Ararat-Armenia -0.75 | 27% | 19% | @ 5.00 |
| Shamrock Rovers -1.5 | 22% | 31% | 3.00 |
| Shamrock Rovers -1.75 | 19% | 25% | 3.70 |
| Shamrock Rovers -2 | 16% | 17% | 5.50 |
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our model's main pick is Ararat-Armenia Asian Handicap with a +1.5 start at odds 1.38, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia?
Our model makes a Shamrock Rovers win the most likely result at 36%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.3 scoreline for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia.
What is the predicted score for Shamrock Rovers vs Ararat-Armenia?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.82 for Shamrock Rovers and 1.31 for Ararat-Armenia. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Shamrock Rovers and Ararat-Armenia play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 28 July 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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