⚽ Championship
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: Sheffield Utd 3-2 Bolton
Sheffield Utd vs Bolton finished 3-2. Sheffield Utd won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Sheffield Utd face Bolton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 53%, projecting a 1.5-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 12.3% | 12.4% | 6.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.1% | 9.2% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Sheffield Utd win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 53%. Goals lean under 2.5 (55%), both teams to score points no (51%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
Sheffield Utd come into this game with 1 win from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Stoke City.
- LStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LFleetwood Town 1-0 Sheffield UtdLeague Cup
- LSheffield Utd 0-1 WolvesChampionship
- WBlackburn 1-2 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- LSheffield Utd 1-3 NorwichChampionship
Bolton come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Norwich. Their most recent defeat was 2-3 at home to West Ham.
- WNorwich 3-4 BoltonChampionship
- WBolton 1-0 CardiffChampionship
- LBolton 2-3 West HamChampionship
- LMillwall 4-0 BoltonChampionship
- LSheffield Utd 3-2 BoltonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 5 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- H. BurrowsNot in squad
- T. ChongInjury
- R. OneHamstring Injury
- F. SerikiNot in squad
- L. StephensonNot in squad
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Sheffield Utd at 53% to win and Bolton at 12%, with the draw at 35%. Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd Win | 53% | 56% | @ 1.68 |
| Draw | 35% | 25% | @ 3.80 |
| Bolton Win | 12% | 20% | @ 4.70 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sheffield Utd or Draw at 1.17 (82% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd or Draw | 82% | 80% | @ 1.17 |
| Bolton or Draw | 41% | 44% | @ 2.12 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 55% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 76% | 68% | @ 1.37 |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 76% | @ 1.22 |
| Under 2.5 | 55% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 53% | @ 1.77 |
| Under 1.5 | 29% | 24% | @ 3.90 |
| Over 3.5 | 24% | 32% | @ 2.90 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS No | 51% | 46% | @ 2.00 |
| BTTS Yes | 49% | 54% | @ 1.72 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sheffield Utd or Bolton is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd +0.75 | 84% | 86% | 1.11 |
| Sheffield Utd +0.5 | 82% | – | 1.18 |
| Sheffield Utd +0.25 | 76% | 78% | 1.23 |
| Bolton +2 | 75% | 80% | 1.18 |
| Bolton +1.75 | 70% | 74% | 1.29 |
| Sheffield Utd 0 | 70% | 75% | 1.27 |
| Bolton +1.5 | 66% | 67% | 1.40 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.25 | 64% | 65% | 1.48 |
| Bolton +1.25 | 60% | 63% | 1.50 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.5 | 59% | 57% | 1.67 |
| Bolton +1 | 54% | 57% | 1.66 |
| Sheffield Utd -0.75 | 53% | 51% | @ 1.91 |
| Bolton +0.75 | 47% | 49% | 1.97 |
| Sheffield Utd -1 | 46% | 43% | @ 2.22 |
| Bolton +0.5 | 41% | 43% | 2.17 |
| Sheffield Utd -1.25 | 40% | 37% | @ 2.58 |
| Bolton +0.25 | 36% | 35% | 2.69 |
| Sheffield Utd -1.5 | 34% | 33% | 2.82 |
| Bolton 0 | 30% | 25% | @ 3.73 |
| Sheffield Utd -1.75 | 30% | 26% | @ 3.62 |
| Sheffield Utd -2 | 25% | 20% | @ 4.80 |
| Bolton -0.25 | 24% | 22% | @ 4.29 |
| Bolton -0.75 | 15% | 14% | @ 6.60 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.37, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.
Who is the favourite for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
Our model makes a Sheffield Utd win the most likely result at 53%. It projects an expected 1.5-1.0 scoreline for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton.
What is the predicted score for Sheffield Utd vs Bolton?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.48 for Sheffield Utd and 1.01 for Bolton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Sheffield Utd and Bolton play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 01 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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