Sochaux

Fri 21 Aug1-0Finished

Guingamp

⚽ Ligue 2

Sochaux vs Guingamp Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sochaux vs Guingamp in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Sochaux 1-0 Guingamp

Sochaux vs Guingamp finished 1-0. Sochaux won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Sochaux face Guingamp in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sochaux vs Guingamp with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Sochaux +0.75 @ 1.39

84%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.71 – 0.88 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	6.6%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.8%	11.3%	5.0%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.7%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	6.3%	5.5%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.7%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Sochaux winDrawGuingamp win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sochaux vs Guingamp comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Sochaux with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 84% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (52%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Sochaux

Sochaux come into this game with 2 wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 2. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Nantes.

DLaval 1-1 SochauxLigue 2
WSochaux 1-0 NantesLigue 2
DPAU 1-1 SochauxLigue 2
DClermont Foot 0-0 SochauxLigue 2
WSochaux 1-0 GuingampLigue 2

Guingamp

Guingamp come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Annecy. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at home to RED Star FC 93.

LGuingamp 1-3 RED Star FC 93Ligue 2
WGuingamp 2-1 AnnecyLigue 2
DReims 2-2 GuingampLigue 2
DGuingamp 3-3 NantesLigue 2
LSochaux 1-0 GuingampLigue 2

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sochaux or Draw at 1.49 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sochaux or Draw	80%	61%	@ 1.49
Guingamp or Draw	43%	68%	@ 1.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	74%	74%	@ 1.23
Over 1.5	73%	69%	@ 1.33
Under 2.5	52%	55%	@ 1.67
Over 2.5	48%	45%	@ 2.04
Under 1.5	27%	31%	@ 2.95
Over 3.5	26%	26%	@ 3.55

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	52%	49%	@ 1.87
BTTS Yes	48%	51%	@ 1.77

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sochaux or Guingamp is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sochaux +1.75	95%	86%	1.10
Sochaux +1.5	93%	82%	1.16
Sochaux +1.25	90%	80%	1.20
Sochaux +1	87%	77%	1.24
Sochaux +0.75	84%	69%	1.39
Sochaux +0.5	80%	61%	1.54
Sochaux +0.25	75%	55%	1.74
Sochaux 0	69%	46%	2.06
Guingamp +1.5	67%	84%	1.12
Sochaux -0.25	63%	38%	2.49
Guingamp +1.25	61%	83%	1.14
Sochaux -0.5	57%	33%	2.83
Guingamp +1	55%	82%	1.17
Guingamp +0.75	49%	–	1.28
Sochaux -1	45%	18%	5.16
Guingamp +0.5	43%	67%	1.40
Sochaux -1.25	39%	17%	5.75
Guingamp +0.25	37%	62%	1.53
Sochaux -1.5	33%	16%	6.00
Guingamp 0	31%	54%	1.76
Guingamp -0.25	25%	45%	2.12
Guingamp -0.5	20%	39%	2.40
Guingamp -0.75	16%	31%	3.03
Guingamp -1	13%	23%	4.17
Guingamp -1.25	10%	20%	4.63
Guingamp -1.5	7%	18%	5.25
Guingamp -1.75	5%	14%	7.00

📈 How the market moved

Sochaux 32%Draw 29%Guingamp 38%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sochaux vs Guingamp?

Our model's main pick is Sochaux with a +0.75 start at odds 1.39, with a 84% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Guingamp?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Sochaux and 0.88 for Guingamp. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sochaux and Guingamp play?

Kick-off is Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.