⚽ Ligue 2

Sochaux vs Guingamp Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sochaux vs Guingamp in the Ligue 2. Kick-off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sochaux face Guingamp in the Ligue 2, kicking off Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Sochaux win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 1.7-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sochaux vs Guingamp with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Sochaux or Draw @ 1.53

80%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.71 – 0.88 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.5%	6.6%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.8%	11.3%	5.0%	1.5%	0.3%
2	11.0%	9.7%	4.2%	1.2%	0.3%
3	6.3%	5.5%	2.4%	0.7%	0.2%
4	2.7%	2.4%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Sochaux winDrawGuingamp win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sochaux vs Guingamp is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Sochaux or Draw at odds 1.53, the selection our model is most confident in at 80%. On the match result, the model rates a Sochaux win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points no (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is a Sochaux win at odds 2.85 (+62.3% model value).

Best value

Sochaux Win at odds 2.85, 57% model probability, +62.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Sochaux 57%Draw 24%Guingamp 19%

57%24%19%

57%

Sochaux Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS no

+62.3%

Best value: Sochaux Win

📈 Recent form

Sochaux

Sochaux come into this game with 0 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 11. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Saint Etienne.

DRED Star FC 93 0-0 SochauxLigue 2
LSochaux 0-3 Saint EtienneLigue 2
DSochaux 1-1 AuxerreFriendlies Clubs
LSochaux 0-3 DijonFriendlies Clubs
LMetz 4-1 SochauxFriendlies Clubs

Guingamp

Guingamp come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to Boulogne. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at Metz.

WGuingamp 1-0 BoulogneLigue 2
LMetz 2-1 GuingampLigue 2
DStade Brestois 29 3-3 GuingampFriendlies Clubs
LGuingamp 0-2 LorientFriendlies Clubs
LGuingamp 0-1 ConcarneauFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sochaux at 57% to win and Guingamp at 19%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a Sochaux win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Sochaux Win	57%	@ 2.85	+62.3%
Draw	24%	@ 3.25	-22.5%
Guingamp Win	19%	@ 2.40	-54.0%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sochaux or Draw at 1.53 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Sochaux or Draw	80%	@ 1.53	+23.0%
Guingamp or Draw	43%	@ 1.40	-40.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	26%	@ 3.85	+0.8%
Over 2.5	48%	@ 2.10	+0.6%
Over 1.5	73%	@ 1.36	-0.6%
Under 3.5	74%	@ 1.25	-7.7%
Under 2.5	52%	@ 1.70	-11.4%
Under 1.5	27%	@ 3.10	-16.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	52%	@ 1.85	-3.5%
BTTS Yes	48%	@ 1.80	-13.9%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	57%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.79 for the home side, 0.94 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-0 (13%), 1-1 (11%), 2-0 (11%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sochaux vs Guingamp?

Our main pick is Sochaux or Draw at odds 1.53, with 80% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is a Sochaux win at 2.85 (+62.3% value).

Who is the favourite for Sochaux vs Guingamp?

Our model makes a Sochaux win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 1.7-0.9 scoreline for Sochaux vs Guingamp.

What is the predicted score for Sochaux vs Guingamp?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.71 for Sochaux and 0.88 for Guingamp. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sochaux and Guingamp play?

Kick-off is Friday 21 August 2026, 18:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.