Sporting Gijon

Mon 17 Aug0-0Finished

Sabadell

⚽ Segunda División

Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell in the Segunda División. Kick-off Monday 17 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Sporting Gijon 0-0 Sabadell

Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell finished 0-0. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Sporting Gijon face Sabadell in the Segunda División, kicking off Monday 17 August 2026, 17:00 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.36

74%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.73 – 0.92 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.1%	6.5%	3.0%	0.9%	0.2%
1	12.2%	11.2%	5.2%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.6%	9.7%	4.5%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.1%	5.6%	2.6%	0.8%	0.2%
4	2.6%	2.4%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

Sporting Gijon winDrawSabadell win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (51%), both teams to score points no (51%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

51%

Under 2.5 goals

51%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Sporting Gijon

Sporting Gijon come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at FC Andorra. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Eldense.

WFC Andorra 1-3 Sporting GijonSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 0-1 EldenseSegunda División
LSporting Gijon 0-2 GironaSegunda División
WTenerife 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
WSporting Gijon 1-0 BurgosSegunda División

Sabadell

Sabadell come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Oviedo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Mallorca.

WSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
LMallorca 2-0 SabadellSegunda División
WSabadell 3-2 CordobaSegunda División
WSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
DCastellón 0-0 SabadellSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Sporting Gijon or Draw at 1.16 (80% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sporting Gijon or Draw	80%	79%	@ 1.16
Sabadell or Draw	43%	49%	@ 1.89

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 51% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	74%	67%	@ 1.36
Under 3.5	72%	76%	@ 1.21
Under 2.5	51%	57%	@ 1.61
Over 2.5	49%	43%	@ 2.14
Over 3.5	28%	24%	@ 3.80
Under 1.5	26%	33%	@ 2.80

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 51%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	51%	54%	@ 1.68
BTTS Yes	49%	46%	@ 1.98

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Sporting Gijon or Sabadell is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Sporting Gijon +0.75	83%	85%	1.12
Sporting Gijon +0.5	80%	–	1.19
Sabadell +2	77%	84%	1.12
Sporting Gijon +0.25	74%	76%	1.24
Sabadell +1.75	72%	77%	1.23
Sporting Gijon 0	68%	72%	1.31
Sabadell +1.5	68%	71%	1.31
Sporting Gijon -0.25	63%	61%	1.54
Sabadell +1.25	62%	68%	1.40
Sporting Gijon -0.5	57%	53%	1.79
Sabadell +1	56%	62%	1.52
Sporting Gijon -0.75	51%	46%	2.06
Sabadell +0.75	49%	54%	1.78
Sporting Gijon -1	44%	38%	2.52
Sabadell +0.5	43%	47%	1.99
Sporting Gijon -1.25	38%	32%	2.94
Sabadell +0.25	37%	39%	2.44
Sporting Gijon -1.5	32%	29%	3.29
Sabadell 0	32%	28%	3.46
Sporting Gijon -1.75	28%	23%	4.10
Sabadell -0.25	26%	24%	4.03
Sporting Gijon -2	23%	16%	6.00
Sabadell -0.75	17%	15%	6.40

📈 How the market moved

Sporting Gijon 52%Draw 28%Sabadell 20%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell?

Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.36, with a 74% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 67%.

What is the predicted score for Sporting Gijon vs Sabadell?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.73 for Sporting Gijon and 0.92 for Sabadell. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sporting Gijon and Sabadell play?

Kick-off is Monday 17 August 2026, 17:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.