SpVgg Greuther FürthSpVgg Greuther Fürth
Sun 6 Sep0-1Finished
1. FC Heidenheim1. FC Heidenheim

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Sunday 06 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim finished 0-1. 1. FC Heidenheim won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth face 1. FC Heidenheim in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Sunday 06 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 2 wins from their last 5, while 1. FC Heidenheim have 2 wins from their last 3. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw @ 1.54
71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.83 – 1.46 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 3.7% 5.4% 4.0% 1.9% 0.7%
1 6.8% 10.0% 7.3% 3.5% 1.3%
2 6.2% 9.1% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2%
3 3.8% 5.6% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7%
4 1.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3%
Projected score: 1-1
SpVgg Greuther Fürth winDraw1. FC Heidenheim win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at odds 1.54, with a 71% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (64%), both teams to score points yes (64%).

Limited model coverage
Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

64%
Over 2.5 goals
64%
BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Energie Cottbus. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to 1. FC Heidenheim.

  • DSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
  • DVfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • WEnergie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
  • LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal
1. FC Heidenheim

1. FC Heidenheim come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 10. They are unbeaten in 4. Their biggest win in that run was 5-3 at home to Dynamo Dresden. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-5 at SSV Jeddeloh.

  • DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • W1. FC Heidenheim 1-0 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga
  • WSpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • W1. FC Heidenheim 5-3 Dynamo Dresden2. Bundesliga
  • LSSV Jeddeloh 5-2 1. FC HeidenheimDFB Pokal

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at 1.54 (71% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw 71% 59% @ 1.54
1. FC Heidenheim or Draw 55% 66% @ 1.38

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.5 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 64% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 84% 83% @ 1.11
Over 2.5 64% 64% @ 1.44
Under 3.5 58% 57% @ 1.61
Over 3.5 42% 43% @ 2.15
Under 2.5 36% 36% @ 2.55
Under 1.5 16% 17% @ 5.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 64%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 64% 66% @ 1.38
BTTS No 36% 34% @ 2.65

📈 How the market moved

21%34%47%09/0409/0509/06

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33%Draw 26%1. FC Heidenheim 42%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

Our model's main pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at odds 1.54, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

What is the predicted score for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Heidenheim?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.83 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.46 for 1. FC Heidenheim. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Heidenheim play?

Kick-off is Sunday 06 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.