⚽ 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers All markets FAQ

SpVgg Greuther Fürth face 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:00 UTC. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win the most likely result at 46%, projecting a 1.6-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw @ 1.53

71%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	7.2%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
1	9.2%	11.5%	7.2%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.4%	9.3%	5.8%	2.4%	0.8%
3	4.0%	5.0%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth winDraw1. FC Nürnberg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at odds 1.53, the selection our model is most confident in at 71%. On the match result, the model rates a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 46%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

Best value

SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at odds 1.53, 71% model probability, +8.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 46%Draw 24%1. FC Nürnberg 30%

46%24%30%

46%

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

+8.7%

Best value: SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 46% to win and 1. FC Nürnberg at 30%, with the draw at 24%. Our model makes a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win	46%	@ 2.70	+24.1%
Draw	24%	@ 3.45	-15.5%
1. FC Nürnberg Win	30%	@ 2.45	-27.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at 1.53 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw	71%	@ 1.53	+8.7%
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw	55%	@ 1.44	-21.2%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.45	-1.6%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 2.15	-2.1%
Over 1.5	78%	@ 1.22	-5.0%
Under 1.5	22%	@ 4.20	-7.2%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.67	-9.0%
Over 3.5	32%	@ 2.70	-13.2%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	43%	@ 2.35	+0.8%
BTTS Yes	57%	@ 1.50	-14.3%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	46%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.48 for the home side, 1.13 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (9%), 1-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our main pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at odds 1.53, with 71% model confidence.

Who is the favourite for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our model makes a SpVgg Greuther Fürth win the most likely result at 46%. It projects an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg.

What is the predicted score for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.25 for 1. FC Nürnberg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.