SpVgg Greuther Fürth

Sat 15 Aug2-4Finished

1. FC Nürnberg

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-4 1. FC Nürnberg

SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg finished 2-4. 1. FC Nürnberg won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

SpVgg Greuther Fürth face 1. FC Nürnberg in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, 1. FC Nürnberg won 1, 1 drawn. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw @ 1.55

71%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.61 – 1.25 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.7%	7.2%	4.5%	1.9%	0.6%
1	9.2%	11.5%	7.2%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.4%	9.3%	5.8%	2.4%	0.8%
3	4.0%	5.0%	3.1%	1.3%	0.4%
4	1.6%	2.0%	1.3%	0.5%	0.2%

Projected score: 1-1

SpVgg Greuther Fürth winDraw1. FC Nürnberg win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at odds 1.55, with a 71% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (57%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Over 2.5 goals

57%

BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg. Wins shown from SpVgg Greuther Fürth’s perspective: 1 drawn · 1. FC Nürnberg 1.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-15	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2 – 4	1. FC Nürnberg	L
2026-05-03	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1 – 1	1. FC Nürnberg	D

📈 Recent form

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Energie Cottbus. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to 1. FC Heidenheim.

DSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-1 1. FC Magdeburg2. Bundesliga
DVfL Bochum 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
WEnergie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal

1. FC Nürnberg

1. FC Nürnberg come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at home to Arminia Bielefeld. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WKarlsruher SC 0-1 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Nürnberg 2-1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
DHolstein Kiel 2-2 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
W1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
DFC Viktoria Köln 1-1 1. FC NürnbergDFB Pokal

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at 1.55 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw	71%	59%	@ 1.55
1. FC Nürnberg or Draw	55%	68%	@ 1.35

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.6-1.2 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	77%	@ 1.19
Under 3.5	68%	65%	@ 1.41
Over 2.5	54%	56%	@ 1.65
Under 2.5	46%	44%	@ 2.06
Over 3.5	32%	35%	@ 2.60
Under 1.5	22%	23%	@ 3.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 57%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	57%	60%	@ 1.52
BTTS No	43%	40%	@ 2.28

📈 How the market moved

SpVgg Greuther Fürth 31%Draw 27%1. FC Nürnberg 42%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

Our model's main pick is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at odds 1.55, with a 71% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 59%.

What is the predicted score for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs 1. FC Nürnberg?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.61 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1.25 for 1. FC Nürnberg. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SpVgg Greuther Fürth and 1. FC Nürnberg play?

Kick-off is Saturday 15 August 2026, 11:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.