⚽ Championship
Stoke City vs Norwich Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Stoke City vs Norwich in the Championship. Kick-off Tuesday 01 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
Result: Stoke City 1-0 Norwich
Stoke City vs Norwich finished 1-0. Stoke City won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
Stoke City face Norwich in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Tuesday 01 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Stoke City have no wins from their last 5, while Norwich have 1 win from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, Stoke City won 1, Norwich won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Norwich win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.3-1.6 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Stoke City vs Norwich with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| 1 | 7.0% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% |
| 2 | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| 3 | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for Stoke City vs Norwich comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Stoke City with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Norwich win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean over 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points yes (58%).
📊 Key numbers
🔁 Head-to-head
The last 5 meetings between Stoke City and Norwich. Wins shown from Stoke City’s perspective: Stoke City 1 · 1 drawn · Norwich 3.
| Date | Home | Score | Away | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Stoke City | 1 – 0 | Norwich | W |
| 2025-02-22 | Norwich | 4 – 2 | Stoke City | L |
| 2024-10-19 | Stoke City | 1 – 1 | Norwich | D |
| 2024-03-16 | Stoke City | 0 – 3 | Norwich | L |
| 2023-09-16 | Norwich | 1 – 0 | Stoke City | L |
📈 Recent form
Stoke City come into this game with 4 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Charlton. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.
- WStoke City 2-1 Sheffield UtdChampionship
- WWatford 1-2 Stoke CityChampionship
- DCardiff 1-1 Stoke CityChampionship
- WStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
- WStoke City 1-0 NorwichChampionship
Norwich come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Sheffield Utd. Their most recent defeat was 3-4 at home to Bolton.
- LNorwich 3-4 BoltonChampionship
- LManchester City 5-0 NorwichLeague Cup
- LMiddlesbrough 4-3 NorwichChampionship
- WNorwich 2-1 BirminghamChampionship
- WSheffield Utd 1-3 NorwichChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 11 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- A. AmpahHamstring Injury
- L. CisseKnock
- A. CresswellKnee Injury
- B. GibsonHead Injury
- S. IngelssonInjury
- J. TchamadeuKnee Injury
- A. AhmedKnee Injury
- P. MaghomaCalf Injury
- L. MahovoAnkle Injury
- J. MakamaFoot Injury
- M. TopicKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices Stoke City at 32% to win and Norwich at 39%, with the draw at 28%. Our model makes a Norwich win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich Win | 39% | 41% | @ 2.25 |
| Stoke City Win | 32% | 31% | @ 2.95 |
| Draw | 28% | 27% | @ 3.40 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Norwich or Draw at 1.37 (67% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich or Draw | 67% | 69% | @ 1.37 |
| Stoke City or Draw | 60% | 59% | @ 1.60 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 57% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 79% | 76% | @ 1.23 |
| Under 3.5 | 66% | 68% | @ 1.36 |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 53% | @ 1.77 |
| Under 2.5 | 43% | 47% | @ 1.98 |
| Over 3.5 | 34% | 32% | @ 2.95 |
| Under 1.5 | 21% | 24% | @ 3.85 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 58%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 58% | 57% | @ 1.62 |
| BTTS No | 42% | 43% | @ 2.17 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when Stoke City or Norwich is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Norwich +1.5 | 86% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Stoke City +1.75 | 84% | 83% | 1.14 |
| Stoke City +1.5 | 81% | 78% | 1.20 |
| Norwich +1.25 | 81% | 84% | 1.13 |
| Norwich +1 | 76% | 83% | 1.15 |
| Stoke City +1.25 | 76% | 76% | 1.26 |
| Norwich +0.75 | 72% | 76% | 1.26 |
| Stoke City +1 | 70% | 73% | 1.31 |
| Norwich +0.5 | 67% | 68% | 1.38 |
| Stoke City +0.75 | 65% | 64% | 1.50 |
| Norwich +0.25 | 60% | 65% | 1.47 |
| Stoke City +0.5 | 60% | 57% | 1.64 |
| Norwich 0 | 54% | 58% | 1.64 |
| Stoke City +0.25 | 53% | 51% | @ 1.91 |
| Norwich -0.25 | 47% | 49% | 1.97 |
| Stoke City 0 | 46% | 42% | @ 2.24 |
| Norwich -0.5 | 40% | 43% | 2.21 |
| Stoke City -0.25 | 40% | 35% | @ 2.71 |
| Norwich -0.75 | 35% | 36% | 2.64 |
| Stoke City -0.5 | 33% | 32% | 2.98 |
| Norwich -1 | 30% | 27% | @ 3.48 |
| Stoke City -0.75 | 28% | 24% | @ 3.89 |
| Norwich -1.25 | 24% | 24% | 3.90 |
| Stoke City -1 | 24% | 17% | @ 5.50 |
| Stoke City -1.25 | 19% | 16% | @ 5.90 |
| Norwich -1.5 | 19% | 22% | 4.17 |
| Norwich -1.75 | 16% | 17% | 5.75 |
| Stoke City -1.5 | 14% | 15% | 6.40 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for Stoke City vs Norwich?
Our model's main pick is Stoke City with a +1.25 start at odds 1.26, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 76%.
Who is the favourite for Stoke City vs Norwich?
Our model makes a Norwich win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.3-1.6 scoreline for Stoke City vs Norwich.
What is the predicted score for Stoke City vs Norwich?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.33 for Stoke City and 1.62 for Norwich. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do Stoke City and Norwich play?
Kick-off is Tuesday 01 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
Get free tips, every day
Daily AI-backed football tips in your inbox. Free, no spam, unsubscribe anytime.
18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.
More predictions
Benevento
Catanzaro
Ascoli
Sampdoria
Cesena
Empoli
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Vicenza Virtus
Modena
Mantova
CremoneseAnalytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.