Sudtirol

Sat 12 Sep1-1Finished

Modena

⚽ Serie B

Sudtirol vs Modena Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sudtirol vs Modena in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Sudtirol 1-1 Modena

Sudtirol vs Modena finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Modena or Draw at 1.36, landed.

Sudtirol face Modena in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Sudtirol have 2 wins from their last 5, while Modena have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 2 meetings, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Modena win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 0.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sudtirol vs Modena with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Modena or Draw @ 1.36

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.77 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	16.4%	10.7%	4.6%	1.5%
1	9.7%	12.6%	8.2%	3.6%	1.2%
2	3.7%	4.9%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%
3	1.0%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Sudtirol winDrawModena win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sudtirol vs Modena comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Modena or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Modena win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points no (61%).

📊 Key numbers

Sudtirol 22%Draw 30%Modena 48%

22%30%48%

48%

Modena Win

66%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Sudtirol and Modena. Wins shown from Sudtirol’s perspective: 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	Sudtirol	1 – 1	Modena	D
2026-04-11	Sudtirol	1 – 1	Modena	D

📈 Recent form

Sudtirol

Sudtirol come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Arezzo. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Genoa.

WArezzo 1-4 SudtirolSerie B
LGenoa 1-0 SudtirolCoppa Italia
DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
WSudtirol 2-0 CatanzaroSerie B
DBenevento 1-1 SudtirolSerie B

Modena

Modena come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cremonese. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Avellino.

WModena 2-1 EmpoliSerie B
DSudtirol 1-1 ModenaSerie B
LModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
WCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B
WBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sudtirol at 22% to win and Modena at 48%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Modena win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Modena Win	48%	39%	@ 2.40
Draw	30%	31%	@ 3.00
Sudtirol Win	22%	29%	@ 3.20

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Modena or Draw at 1.36 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Modena or Draw	76%	71%	@ 1.36
Sudtirol or Draw	49%	61%	@ 1.53

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	84%	78%	@ 1.20
Under 2.5	66%	59%	@ 1.60
Over 1.5	61%	66%	@ 1.40
Under 1.5	39%	34%	@ 2.75
Over 2.5	34%	41%	@ 2.30
Over 3.5	16%	22%	@ 4.33

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	61%	52%	@ 1.80
BTTS Yes	39%	48%	@ 1.95

📈 How the market moved

Sudtirol 27%Draw 34%Modena 39%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sudtirol vs Modena?

Our model's main pick is Modena or Draw at odds 1.36, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 71%.

Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Modena?

Our model makes a Modena win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.3 scoreline for Sudtirol vs Modena.

What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Modena?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.77 for Sudtirol and 1.30 for Modena. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sudtirol and Modena play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.