⚽ Serie B

Sudtirol vs Modena Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Sudtirol vs Modena in the Serie B. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Sudtirol face Modena in the Serie B, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC. Recent form: Sudtirol have 2 wins from their last 5, while Modena have 2 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Modena win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 0.8-1.3 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Sudtirol vs Modena with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Modena or Draw @ 1.36

76%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.77 – 1.30 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.6%	16.4%	10.7%	4.6%	1.5%
1	9.7%	12.6%	8.2%	3.6%	1.2%
2	3.7%	4.9%	3.2%	1.4%	0.4%
3	1.0%	1.2%	0.8%	0.4%	0.1%
4	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 0-1

Sudtirol winDrawModena win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Sudtirol vs Modena is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Modena or Draw at odds 1.36, the selection our model is most confident in at 76%. On the match result, the model rates a Modena win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean under 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points no (61%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is both teams not to score at odds 1.80 (+9.1% model value).

Best value

BTTS No at odds 1.80, 61% model probability, +9.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

Sudtirol 22%Draw 30%Modena 48%

22%30%48%

48%

Modena Win

66%

Under 2.5 goals

61%

BTTS no

+9.1%

Best value: BTTS No

📈 Recent form

Sudtirol

Sudtirol come into this game with 3 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 7 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 5. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Catanzaro. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches.

WSudtirol 2-0 CatanzaroSerie B
DBenevento 1-1 SudtirolSerie B
WSudtirol 1-0 Virtus EntellaSerie B
DCatanzaro 2-2 SudtirolCoppa Italia
WSudtirol 1-0 Virtus VeronaFriendlies Clubs

Modena

Modena come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Cremonese. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Avellino.

LModena 0-1 AvellinoSerie B
WCremonese 0-3 ModenaSerie B
WBenevento 1-2 ModenaSerie B
LVenezia 3-2 ModenaCoppa Italia
WTrento 0-1 ModenaFriendlies Clubs

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Sudtirol at 22% to win and Modena at 48%, with the draw at 30%. Our model makes a Modena win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Modena Win	48%	@ 2.40	+16.5%
Draw	30%	@ 3.00	-10.9%
Sudtirol Win	22%	@ 3.20	-30.3%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Modena or Draw at 1.36 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Modena or Draw	76%	@ 1.36	+3.0%
Sudtirol or Draw	49%	@ 1.53	-25.0%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.8-1.3 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	39%	@ 2.75	+6.5%
Under 2.5	66%	@ 1.60	+5.2%
Under 3.5	84%	@ 1.20	+1.3%
Over 1.5	61%	@ 1.40	-14.2%
Over 2.5	34%	@ 2.30	-21.3%
Over 3.5	16%	@ 4.33	-32.6%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 61%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	61%	@ 1.80	+9.1%
BTTS Yes	39%	@ 1.95	-23.2%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sudtirol vs Modena?

Our main pick is Modena or Draw at odds 1.36, with 76% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is both teams not to score at 1.80 (+9.1% value).

Who is the favourite for Sudtirol vs Modena?

Our model makes a Modena win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 0.8-1.3 scoreline for Sudtirol vs Modena.

What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Modena?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.77 for Sudtirol and 1.30 for Modena. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Sudtirol and Modena play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 13:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.