SV Darmstadt 98SV Darmstadt 98
Fri 11 Sep2-1Finished
Arminia BielefeldArminia Bielefeld

⚽ 2. Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Result: SV Darmstadt 98 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld finished 2-1. SV Darmstadt 98 won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, over 2.5 goals at 1.56, landed.

SV Darmstadt 98 face Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: SV Darmstadt 98 have no wins from their last 4, while Arminia Bielefeld have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 2 meetings, SV Darmstadt 98 won 1, Arminia Bielefeld won 1. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.7-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Arminia Bielefeld +0.75 @ 1.35
76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 2.13 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 2.2% 4.8% 5.1% 3.6% 1.9%
1 3.7% 8.0% 8.5% 6.0% 3.2%
2 3.1% 6.6% 7.1% 5.0% 2.7%
3 1.7% 3.7% 3.9% 2.8% 1.5%
4 0.7% 1.5% 1.6% 1.2% 0.6%
Projected score: 1-2
SV Darmstadt 98 winDrawArminia Bielefeld win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Arminia Bielefeld with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 76% model probability. On the match result, the model rates an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (70%).

📊 Key numbers

SV Darmstadt 98 32%Draw 20%Arminia Bielefeld 48%
32%20%48%
48%
Arminia Bielefeld Win
73%
Over 2.5 goals
70%
BTTS yes

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between SV Darmstadt 98 and Arminia Bielefeld. Wins shown from SV Darmstadt 98’s perspective: SV Darmstadt 98 1 · Arminia Bielefeld 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-09-11 SV Darmstadt 98 2 – 1 Arminia Bielefeld W
2026-04-04 Arminia Bielefeld 2 – 1 SV Darmstadt 98 L

📈 Recent form

SV Darmstadt 98

SV Darmstadt 98 come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Arminia Bielefeld. Their most recent defeat was 1-5 at VfL Wolfsburg.

  • LVfL Wolfsburg 5-1 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • WSV Darmstadt 98 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • L1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
  • LSV Darmstadt 98 0-1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
  • WFC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal
Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 12. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at SV Darmstadt 98.

  • DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
  • LSV Darmstadt 98 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
  • L1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
  • DSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Arminia BielefeldDFB Pokal

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SV Darmstadt 98 at 32% to win and Arminia Bielefeld at 48%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Arminia Bielefeld Win 48% 39% @ 2.43
SV Darmstadt 98 Win 32% 35% @ 2.70
Draw 20% 26% @ 3.55

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Arminia Bielefeld or Draw at 1.41 (71% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw 71% 65% @ 1.41
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw 54% 61% @ 1.49

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 89% 80% @ 1.15
Over 2.5 73% 59% @ 1.56
Over 3.5 53% 39% @ 2.38
Under 3.5 47% 61% @ 1.49
Under 2.5 27% 41% @ 2.23
Under 1.5 11% 20% @ 4.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS Yes 70% 63% @ 1.45
BTTS No 30% 37% @ 2.43

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when SV Darmstadt 98 or Arminia Bielefeld is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Arminia Bielefeld +1.75 91% 86% @ 1.11
Arminia Bielefeld +1.5 89% 82% @ 1.16
Arminia Bielefeld +1.25 84% 79% @ 1.19
SV Darmstadt 98 +1.75 81% 84% 1.13
Arminia Bielefeld +1 80% 78% 1.22
SV Darmstadt 98 +1.5 77% 79% 1.20
Arminia Bielefeld +0.75 76% 70% @ 1.35
SV Darmstadt 98 +1.25 72% 77% 1.25
Arminia Bielefeld +0.5 71% 64% @ 1.49
SV Darmstadt 98 +1 66% 75% 1.27
Arminia Bielefeld +0.25 65% 59% @ 1.61
SV Darmstadt 98 +0.75 60% 67% 1.42
Arminia Bielefeld 0 58% 53% @ 1.82
SV Darmstadt 98 +0.5 54% 61% 1.56
Arminia Bielefeld -0.25 52% 45% @ 2.12
SV Darmstadt 98 +0.25 48% 55% 1.73
Arminia Bielefeld -0.5 46% 39% @ 2.42
SV Darmstadt 98 0 42% 47% 2.02
Arminia Bielefeld -0.75 40% 33% @ 2.89
SV Darmstadt 98 -0.25 35% 41% 2.33
Arminia Bielefeld -1 34% 25% @ 3.79
SV Darmstadt 98 -0.5 29% 36% 2.65
Arminia Bielefeld -1.25 28% 23% @ 4.06
SV Darmstadt 98 -0.75 24% 30% 3.19
Arminia Bielefeld -1.5 23% 21% 4.40
SV Darmstadt 98 -1 20% 22% 4.35
Arminia Bielefeld -1.75 19% 16% @ 5.90
SV Darmstadt 98 -1.25 16% 21% 4.50
SV Darmstadt 98 -1.5 11% 18% 5.25
SV Darmstadt 98 -1.75 9% 14% 6.60

📈 How the market moved

21%33%45%09/0609/0709/0809/0909/1009/11

SV Darmstadt 98 35%Draw 26%Arminia Bielefeld 39%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our model's main pick is Arminia Bielefeld with a +0.75 start at odds 1.35, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 70%.

Who is the favourite for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our model makes an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.7-2.1 scoreline for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld.

What is the predicted score for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.67 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 2.13 for Arminia Bielefeld. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SV Darmstadt 98 and Arminia Bielefeld play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.