⚽ 2. Bundesliga

SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Friday 11 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

SV Darmstadt 98 face Arminia Bielefeld in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Friday 11 September 2026, 16:30 UTC. Recent form: SV Darmstadt 98 have 0 wins from their last 4, while Arminia Bielefeld have 1 win from their last 4. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely result at 48%, projecting a 1.7-2.1 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 2.5 @ 1.56

73%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.67 – 2.13 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.2%	4.8%	5.1%	3.6%	1.9%
1	3.7%	8.0%	8.5%	6.0%	3.2%
2	3.1%	6.6%	7.1%	5.0%	2.7%
3	1.7%	3.7%	3.9%	2.8%	1.5%
4	0.7%	1.5%	1.6%	1.2%	0.6%

Projected score: 1-2

SV Darmstadt 98 winDrawArminia Bielefeld win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.56, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 48%. Goals lean over 2.5 (73%), both teams to score points yes (70%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 3.5 goals at odds 2.38 (+25.3% model value).

Best value

Over 3.5 at odds 2.38, 53% model probability, +25.3% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

SV Darmstadt 98 32%Draw 20%Arminia Bielefeld 48%

32%20%48%

48%

Arminia Bielefeld Win

73%

Over 2.5 goals

70%

BTTS yes

+25.3%

Best value: Over 3.5

📈 Recent form

SV Darmstadt 98

SV Darmstadt 98 come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at FC Carl Zeiss Jena. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at 1. FC Kaiserslautern.

L1. FC Kaiserslautern 3-0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
LSV Darmstadt 98 0-1 Hannover 962. Bundesliga
WFC Carl Zeiss Jena 1-2 SV Darmstadt 98DFB Pokal
LDynamo Dresden 1-0 SV Darmstadt 982. Bundesliga
DSV Darmstadt 98 2-2 Holstein Kiel2. Bundesliga

Arminia Bielefeld

Arminia Bielefeld come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Energie Cottbus. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-4 at 1. FC Nürnberg.

DArminia Bielefeld 2-2 FC St. Pauli2. Bundesliga
L1. FC Nürnberg 4-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga
DSG Sonnenhof Grossaspach 2-2 Arminia BielefeldDFB Pokal
WArminia Bielefeld 3-0 Energie Cottbus2. Bundesliga
LKarlsruher SC 2-1 Arminia Bielefeld2. Bundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices SV Darmstadt 98 at 32% to win and Arminia Bielefeld at 48%, with the draw at 20%. Our model makes an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Arminia Bielefeld Win	48%	@ 2.43	+17.9%
SV Darmstadt 98 Win	32%	@ 2.70	-14.5%
Draw	20%	@ 3.55	-29.6%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Arminia Bielefeld or Draw at 1.41 (71% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Arminia Bielefeld or Draw	71%	@ 1.41	+0.5%
SV Darmstadt 98 or Draw	54%	@ 1.49	-18.8%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.7-2.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 73% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	53%	@ 2.38	+25.3%
Over 2.5	73%	@ 1.56	+14.0%
Over 1.5	89%	@ 1.15	+2.6%
Under 3.5	47%	@ 1.49	-29.4%
Under 2.5	27%	@ 2.23	-40.0%
Under 1.5	11%	@ 4.70	-49.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 70%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	70%	@ 1.45	+1.7%
BTTS No	30%	@ 2.43	-27.5%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	40%
Dixon-Coles	Away	59%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.13 for the home side, 1.49 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (7%), 2-2 (7%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our main pick is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.56, with 73% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 3.5 goals at 2.38 (+25.3% value).

Who is the favourite for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?

Our model makes an Arminia Bielefeld win the most likely result at 48%. It projects an expected 1.7-2.1 scoreline for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld.

What is the predicted score for SV Darmstadt 98 vs Arminia Bielefeld?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-2, based on expected goals of 1.67 for SV Darmstadt 98 and 2.13 for Arminia Bielefeld. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do SV Darmstadt 98 and Arminia Bielefeld play?

Kick-off is Friday 11 September 2026, 16:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.