⚽ Segunda División

Tenerife vs Almeria Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tenerife vs Almeria in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Tenerife face Almeria in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tenerife vs Almeria with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Tenerife or Draw @ 1.50

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.77 – 1.06 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	6.3%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.4%	11.1%	5.9%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.2%	9.8%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.5%	5.8%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Tenerife winDrawAlmeria win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Almeria is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is Tenerife or Draw at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Tenerife

Tenerife come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 14 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 6-0 at Marino. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-2 at home to Getafe.

WEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División
WTenerife 3-2 TamaraceiteFriendlies Clubs
WMarino 0-6 TenerifeFriendlies Clubs
LTenerife 1-2 GetafeFriendlies Clubs
LOurense CF 2-1 TenerifePrimera División RFEF

Almeria

Almeria come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 3. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at Cordoba. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Real Betis.

WAlmeria 3-0 EldenseSegunda División
WCordoba 0-4 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs
WAl-Nassr 0-2 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs
LReal Betis 1-0 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs
LGranada CF 2-0 AlmeriaFriendlies Clubs

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Tenerife or Draw at 1.50 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Tenerife or Draw	78%	@ 1.50	n/a
Almeria or Draw	46%	@ 1.42	n/a

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.33	n/a
Under 1.5	23%	@ 3.20	n/a
Over 2.5	54%	@ 2.00	n/a
Under 2.5	46%	@ 1.80	n/a
Over 3.5	32%	@ 3.55	n/a
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.28	n/a

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	54%	@ 1.73	n/a
BTTS No	46%	@ 1.95	n/a

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	54%

Our models are divided on this match. This pick rests on the ensemble weighting rather than on consensus.

Expected goals: 1.69 for the home side, 0.99 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (11%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (10%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Almeria?

Our main pick is Tenerife or Draw at odds 1.50, with 78% model confidence.

What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Almeria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.77 for Tenerife and 1.06 for Almeria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Tenerife and Almeria play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.