Tenerife

Sun 23 Aug1-0Finished

Almeria

⚽ Segunda División

Tenerife vs Almeria Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tenerife vs Almeria in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Tenerife 1-0 Almeria

Tenerife vs Almeria finished 1-0. Tenerife won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Tenerife face Almeria in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:30 UTC. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tenerife vs Almeria with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Tenerife or Draw @ 1.58

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.78 – 1.06 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	6.2%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%
1	10.4%	11.0%	5.8%	2.1%	0.5%
2	9.3%	9.8%	5.2%	1.8%	0.5%
3	5.5%	5.8%	3.1%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.4%	2.6%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

Tenerife winDrawAlmeria win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Almeria comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Tenerife or Draw at odds 1.58, with a 78% model probability. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (54%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

54%

Over 2.5 goals

54%

BTTS yes

📈 Recent form

Tenerife

Tenerife come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Leganes. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Castellón.

LCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
WTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
LTenerife 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
WTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División

Almeria

Almeria come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at home to Eldense. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Sabadell.

WCordoba 0-2 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-2 CadizSegunda División
LSabadell 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
LTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WAlmeria 3-0 EldenseSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Tenerife or Draw at 1.58 (78% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Tenerife or Draw	78%	58%	@ 1.58
Almeria or Draw	46%	71%	@ 1.28

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.1 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Over 1.5	78%	69%	@ 1.33
Under 3.5	68%	74%	@ 1.24
Over 2.5	54%	45%	@ 2.04
Under 2.5	46%	55%	@ 1.67
Over 3.5	32%	26%	@ 3.55
Under 1.5	22%	31%	@ 2.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 54%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS Yes	54%	51%	@ 1.79
BTTS No	46%	49%	@ 1.86

📈 How the market moved

Tenerife 31%Draw 30%Almeria 39%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Almeria?

Our model's main pick is Tenerife or Draw at odds 1.58, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 58%.

What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Almeria?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.78 for Tenerife and 1.06 for Almeria. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Tenerife and Almeria play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 19:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.