Tenerife

Sun 13 Sep2-0Finished

Leganes

⚽ Segunda División

Tenerife vs Leganes Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Tenerife vs Leganes in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Tenerife 2-0 Leganes

Tenerife vs Leganes finished 2-0. Tenerife won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 2.5 goals at 1.50, landed.

Tenerife face Leganes in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00 UTC. Recent form: Tenerife have 2 wins from their last 4, while Leganes have 2 wins from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Tenerife vs Leganes with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 2.5 @ 1.50

66%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.37 – 0.68 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.9%	8.8%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
1	17.6%	12.0%	4.1%	0.9%	0.2%
2	12.1%	8.2%	2.8%	0.6%	0.1%
3	5.5%	3.8%	1.3%	0.3%	0.0%
4	1.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Tenerife winDrawLeganes win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Tenerife vs Leganes comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 66% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (66%), both teams to score points no (63%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

66%

Under 2.5 goals

63%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Tenerife

Tenerife come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 2-0 at home to Leganes. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Castellón.

LCastellón 5-0 TenerifeSegunda División
WTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
LTenerife 0-1 Sporting GijonSegunda División
WTenerife 1-0 AlmeriaSegunda División
WEibar 1-3 TenerifeSegunda División

Leganes

Leganes come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Granada CF. Their only defeat in that run was 0-2 at Tenerife.

WLeganes 3-2 Granada CFSegunda División
LTenerife 2-0 LeganesSegunda División
DLas Palmas 0-0 LeganesSegunda División
WLeganes 1-0 EldenseSegunda División
WOviedo 0-1 LeganesSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Tenerife or Draw at 1.24 (79% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Tenerife or Draw	79%	74%	@ 1.24
Leganes or Draw	44%	57%	@ 1.61

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 66% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	85%	80%	@ 1.16
Under 2.5	66%	61%	@ 1.50
Over 1.5	61%	65%	@ 1.40
Under 1.5	39%	35%	@ 2.65
Over 2.5	34%	39%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	15%	20%	@ 4.50

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 63%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	63%	53%	@ 1.71
BTTS Yes	37%	47%	@ 1.94

📈 How the market moved

Tenerife 37%Draw 32%Leganes 31%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Tenerife vs Leganes?

Our model's main pick is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.50, with a 66% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 61%.

What is the predicted score for Tenerife vs Leganes?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.37 for Tenerife and 0.68 for Leganes. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Tenerife and Leganes play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 19:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.