Sun 23 Aug2-1Finished

⚽ Süper Lig

Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir in the Süper Lig. Kick-off Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

Result: Trabzonspor 2-1 Başakşehir

Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir finished 2-1. Trabzonspor won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

Trabzonspor face Başakşehir in the upcoming Süper Lig tips, kicking off Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:00 UTC. In their last 2 meetings, Trabzonspor won 1, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 57%, projecting a 0.9-1.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick
Başakşehir or Draw @ 1.63
80%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 0.94 – 1.86 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 6.1% 11.3% 10.5% 6.5% 3.0%
1 5.7% 10.6% 9.9% 6.1% 2.9%
2 2.7% 5.0% 4.6% 2.9% 1.3%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 0.9% 0.4%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%
Projected score: 0-1
Trabzonspor winDrawBaşakşehir win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Başakşehir or Draw at odds 1.63, with a 80% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a Başakşehir win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 57%. Goals lean over 2.5 (53%), both teams to score points no (50%).

📊 Key numbers

Trabzonspor 20%Draw 23%Başakşehir 57%
20%23%57%
57%
Başakşehir Win
53%
Over 2.5 goals
50%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between Trabzonspor and Başakşehir. Wins shown from Trabzonspor’s perspective: Trabzonspor 1 · 1 drawn.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-08-23 Trabzonspor 2 – 1 Başakşehir W
2026-04-19 Trabzonspor 1 – 1 Başakşehir D

📈 Recent form

Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor come into this game with 2 wins from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 5-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at Konyaspor.

  • WTrabzonspor 4-0 GalatasaraySüper Lig
  • LKonyaspor 1-0 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • WTrabzonspor 5-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • LAmed 2-1 TrabzonsporSüper Lig
  • LFerencváros 4-0 TrabzonsporUEFA Europa League
Başakşehir

Başakşehir come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-0 at home to Gençlerbirliği. Their most recent defeat was 0-5 at Amed.

  • WBaşakşehir 4-0 GençlerbirliğiSüper Lig
  • LAmed 5-0 BaşakşehirSüper Lig
  • LBaşakşehir 2-3 GalatasaraySüper Lig
  • DBaşakşehir 1-1 KasımpaşaSüper Lig
  • LTrabzonspor 2-1 BaşakşehirSüper Lig

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 3 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

Trabzonspor
  • A. BatagovKnee Injury
  • T. Jabol-FolcarelliKnee Injury
  • O. YokusluLacking Match Fitness
Başakşehir

No absentees reported.

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices Trabzonspor at 20% to win and Başakşehir at 57%, with the draw at 23%. Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Başakşehir Win 57% 30% @ 3.15
Draw 23% 26% @ 3.55
Trabzonspor Win 20% 44% @ 2.15

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Başakşehir or Draw at 1.63 (80% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Başakşehir or Draw 80% 56% @ 1.63
Trabzonspor or Draw 43% 70% @ 1.30

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 0.9-1.9 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 53% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Over 1.5 77% 77% @ 1.19
Under 3.5 69% 65% @ 1.42
Over 2.5 53% 56% @ 1.64
Under 2.5 47% 44% @ 2.08
Over 3.5 31% 35% @ 2.60
Under 1.5 23% 23% @ 4.00

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 50%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 50% 41% @ 2.25
BTTS Yes 50% 59% @ 1.54

📈 How the market moved

22%35%49%08/1808/1908/2008/2108/2208/23

Trabzonspor 44%Draw 27%Başakşehir 30%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir?

Our model's main pick is Başakşehir or Draw at odds 1.63, with a 80% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 56%.

Who is the favourite for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir?

Our model makes a Başakşehir win the most likely result at 57%. It projects an expected 0.9-1.9 scoreline for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir.

What is the predicted score for Trabzonspor vs Başakşehir?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 0-1, based on expected goals of 0.94 for Trabzonspor and 1.86 for Başakşehir. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Trabzonspor and Başakşehir play?

Kick-off is Sunday 23 August 2026, 16:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.