Valladolid

Sun 13 Sep0-3Finished

Oviedo

⚽ Segunda División

Valladolid vs Oviedo Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for Valladolid vs Oviedo in the Segunda División. Kick-off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: Valladolid 0-3 Oviedo

Valladolid vs Oviedo finished 0-3. Oviedo won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, Valladolid or Draw at 1.35, did not land.

Valladolid face Oviedo in the Segunda División, kicking off Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC. Recent form: Valladolid have 1 win from their last 4, while Oviedo have 1 win from their last 4. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for Valladolid vs Oviedo with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Valladolid or Draw @ 1.35

76%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.19 – 0.68 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.4%	10.5%	3.6%	0.8%	0.1%
1	18.3%	12.5%	4.2%	1.0%	0.2%
2	10.9%	7.4%	2.5%	0.6%	0.1%
3	4.3%	2.9%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
4	1.3%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%	0.0%

Projected score: 1-0

Valladolid winDrawOviedo win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for Valladolid vs Oviedo comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is Valladolid or Draw at odds 1.35, with a 76% model probability. Goals lean under 2.5 (71%), both teams to score points no (66%).

Limited model coverage

Only one of our models had enough data for this fixture, so we do not show a match result probability or a value comparison against the bookmaker price here. The score heatmap and goals markets are unaffected.

📊 Key numbers

71%

Under 2.5 goals

66%

BTTS no

📈 Recent form

Valladolid

Valladolid come into this game with 1 win and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 3 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at home to FC Andorra. Their most recent defeat was 0-3 at home to Oviedo.

DAD Ceuta FC 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
LValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
WValladolid 1-0 FC AndorraSegunda División
DCadiz 1-1 ValladolidSegunda División
LEibar 1-0 ValladolidSegunda División

Oviedo

Oviedo come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 3-0 at Valladolid. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Sabadell.

LSabadell 3-1 OviedoSegunda División
WValladolid 0-3 OviedoSegunda División
DOviedo 0-0 BurgosSegunda División
WAlbacete 0-1 OviedoSegunda División
LOviedo 0-1 LeganesSegunda División

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Valladolid or Draw at 1.35 (76% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Valladolid or Draw	76%	68%	@ 1.35
Oviedo or Draw	49%	64%	@ 1.44

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.2-0.7 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 71% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	88%	80%	@ 1.14
Under 2.5	71%	61%	@ 1.49
Over 1.5	56%	65%	@ 1.43
Under 1.5	44%	35%	@ 2.60
Over 2.5	29%	39%	@ 2.38
Over 3.5	12%	20%	@ 4.70

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 66%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	66%	54%	@ 1.70
BTTS Yes	34%	46%	@ 1.97

📈 How the market moved

Valladolid 38%Draw 32%Oviedo 30%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Valladolid vs Oviedo?

Our model's main pick is Valladolid or Draw at odds 1.35, with a 76% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 68%.

What is the predicted score for Valladolid vs Oviedo?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.19 for Valladolid and 0.68 for Oviedo. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do Valladolid and Oviedo play?

Kick-off is Sunday 13 September 2026, 14:15 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.