⚽ 2. Bundesliga

VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

VfL Bochum face SpVgg Greuther Fürth in the 2. Bundesliga, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:00 UTC. Recent form: VfL Bochum have 2 wins from their last 4, while SpVgg Greuther Fürth have 1 win from their last 4. In their last 2 meetings, VfL Bochum won 2. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a VfL Bochum win the most likely result at 42%, projecting a 1.4-1.2 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.50

73%Medium AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.40 – 1.21 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.4%	8.9%	5.4%	2.2%	0.7%
1	10.3%	12.5%	7.5%	3.0%	0.9%
2	7.2%	8.7%	5.3%	2.1%	0.6%
3	3.4%	4.1%	2.5%	1.0%	0.3%
4	1.2%	1.4%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-1

VfL Bochum winDrawSpVgg Greuther Fürth win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, the selection our model is most confident in at 73%. On the match result, the model rates a VfL Bochum win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 42%. Goals lean under 2.5 (52%), both teams to score points yes (52%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 2.25 (+16.1% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 2.25, 52% model probability, +16.1% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

VfL Bochum 42%Draw 25%SpVgg Greuther Fürth 33%

42%25%33%

42%

VfL Bochum Win

52%

Under 2.5 goals

52%

BTTS yes

+16.1%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 2 meetings between VfL Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth. Wins shown from VfL Bochum’s perspective: VfL Bochum 2.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-08-23	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	1 – 2	VfL Bochum	W
2026-04-26	VfL Bochum	2 – 1	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	W

📈 Recent form

VfL Bochum

VfL Bochum come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at Dynamo Dresden. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to VfL Osnabrück.

WDynamo Dresden 1-2 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
LVfL Bochum 0-1 VfL Osnabrück2. Bundesliga
WSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal
WEintracht Braunschweig 0-1 VfL Bochum2. Bundesliga
LVfL Bochum 0-1 Hertha BSC2. Bundesliga

SpVgg Greuther Fürth

SpVgg Greuther Fürth come into this game with 1 win and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 8 and conceding 11. Their biggest win in that run was 4-3 at Energie Cottbus. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to 1. FC Heidenheim.

LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 0-1 1. FC Heidenheim2. Bundesliga
WEnergie Cottbus 3-4 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga
LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 1-2 VfL BochumDFB Pokal
LSpVgg Greuther Fürth 2-4 1. FC Nürnberg2. Bundesliga
DFC St. Pauli 1-1 SpVgg Greuther Fürth2. Bundesliga

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices VfL Bochum at 42% to win and SpVgg Greuther Fürth at 33%, with the draw at 25%. Our model makes a VfL Bochum win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
SpVgg Greuther Fürth Win	33%	@ 3.60	+18.8%
Draw	25%	@ 3.70	-7.4%
VfL Bochum Win	42%	@ 1.90	-20.2%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw at 1.91 (59% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
SpVgg Greuther Fürth or Draw	59%	@ 1.91	+12.0%
VfL Bochum or Draw	68%	@ 1.28	-13.5%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 52% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	26%	@ 4.50	+19.5%
Under 2.5	52%	@ 2.25	+16.1%
Under 3.5	73%	@ 1.50	+10.1%
Over 1.5	74%	@ 1.18	-13.3%
Over 2.5	48%	@ 1.62	-21.6%
Over 3.5	27%	@ 2.50	-33.5%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 52%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	48%	@ 2.25	+8.1%
BTTS Yes	52%	@ 1.57	-18.4%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.50, with 73% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 2.25 (+16.1% value).

Who is the favourite for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

Our model makes a VfL Bochum win the most likely result at 42%. It projects an expected 1.4-1.2 scoreline for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth.

What is the predicted score for VfL Bochum vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-1, based on expected goals of 1.40 for VfL Bochum and 1.21 for SpVgg Greuther Fürth. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do VfL Bochum and SpVgg Greuther Fürth play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.