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Sat 17 Oct3-2Finished

⚽ Championship

West Brom vs Blackburn Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Brom vs Blackburn in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

Result: West Brom 3-2 Blackburn

West Brom vs Blackburn finished 3-2. West Brom won. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

West Brom face Blackburn in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC. Recent form: West Brom have 2 wins from their last 5, while Blackburn have 2 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, West Brom won 2, Blackburn won 1, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 39%, projecting a 1.3-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find our best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Brom vs Blackburn with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Market pick
Blackburn +1.5 @ 1.30
73%Bookmaker odds imply 73%

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.29 – 0.90 goals)
0 1 2 3 4
0 11.2% 10.1% 4.5% 1.4% 0.3%
1 14.4% 13.0% 5.8% 1.8% 0.4%
2 9.3% 8.4% 3.8% 1.1% 0.3%
3 4.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.3% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Projected score: 1-0
West Brom winDrawBlackburn win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for West Brom vs Blackburn comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our pick is Blackburn with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds. On the match result, the model rates a West Brom win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 39%. Goals lean under 2.5 (62%), both teams to score points no (56%).

📊 Key numbers

West Brom 39%Draw 34%Blackburn 28%
39%34%28%
39%
West Brom Win
62%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between West Brom and Blackburn. Wins shown from West Brom’s perspective: West Brom 2 · 2 drawn · Blackburn 1.

Date Home Score Away Result
2026-10-17 West Brom 3 – 2 Blackburn W
2026-04-06 Blackburn 0 – 0 West Brom D
2025-02-12 West Brom 0 – 2 Blackburn L
2024-10-23 Blackburn 0 – 0 West Brom D
2024-01-13 West Brom 4 – 1 Blackburn W

📈 Recent form

West Brom

West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Their biggest win in that run was 3-2 at home to Blackburn. Their most recent defeat was 0-1 at home to Birmingham.

  • WWest Brom 3-2 BlackburnChampionship
  • WWrexham 1-2 West BromChampionship
  • LWest Brom 0-1 BirminghamChampionship
  • LWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
  • DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
Blackburn

Blackburn come into this game with 3 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 10 and conceding 7. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at home to Millwall. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 2-3 at West Brom.

  • LWest Brom 3-2 BlackburnChampionship
  • WBristol City 0-1 BlackburnChampionship
  • WBlackburn 2-1 CardiffChampionship
  • DPortsmouth 2-2 BlackburnChampionship
  • WBlackburn 3-1 MillwallChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 8 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

West Brom
  • N. GalvesKnee Injury
  • M. JohnstonBroken Leg
Blackburn
  • A. ForshawHip Injury
  • M. LitherlandMuscle Injury
  • L. MillerAchilles Tendon Injury
  • Y. OhashiHamstring Injury
  • Y. RibeiroHamstring Injury
  • S. WhartonAchilles Tendon Injury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices West Brom at 39% to win and Blackburn at 28%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely outcome.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
West Brom Win 39% 50% @ 1.91
Draw 34% 27% @ 3.50
Blackburn Win 28% 23% @ 4.10

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Brom or Draw at 1.22 (69% model).

Selection Model % Market % Odds
West Brom or Draw 69% 77% @ 1.22
Blackburn or Draw 58% 50% @ 1.83

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.3-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 62% probability.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Under 3.5 82% 75% @ 1.28
Over 1.5 64% 72% @ 1.33
Under 2.5 62% 53% @ 1.80
Over 2.5 38% 47% @ 2.00
Under 1.5 36% 28% @ 3.40
Over 3.5 18% 25% @ 3.75

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 56%.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
BTTS No 56% 50% @ 1.83
BTTS Yes 44% 50% @ 1.83

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Brom or Blackburn is a clear favourite.

Selection Model % Market % Odds
Blackburn +2 86% 86% 1.11
Blackburn +1.75 83% 79% 1.20
Blackburn +1.5 80% 73% @ 1.30
Blackburn +1.25 74% 70% @ 1.36
West Brom +0.75 73% 82% 1.16
Blackburn +1 69% 65% @ 1.46
West Brom +0.5 69% 76% 1.25
Blackburn +0.75 63% 56% @ 1.70
West Brom +0.25 62% 72% 1.31
Blackburn +0.5 58% 50% @ 1.94
West Brom 0 56% 68% 1.41
Blackburn +0.25 51% 43% @ 2.24
West Brom -0.25 49% 57% 1.67
Blackburn 0 44% 32% @ 2.99
West Brom -0.5 42% 50% 1.93
Blackburn -0.25 38% 28% @ 3.46
West Brom -0.75 37% 44% 2.19
West Brom -1 31% 35% 2.73
Blackburn -0.5 31% 24% @ 3.93
Blackburn -0.75 27% 18% @ 5.25
West Brom -1.25 26% 30% 3.15
West Brom -1.5 20% 27% 3.54
West Brom -1.75 17% 21% 4.40
West Brom -2 14% 14% 6.60

📈 How the market moved

20%37%54%10/1510/1610/17

West Brom 50%Draw 27%Blackburn 24%
Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Brom vs Blackburn?

Our pick is Blackburn with a +1.5 start at odds 1.30, with a 73% probability implied by the bookmaker odds.

Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Blackburn?

Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 39%. It projects an expected 1.3-0.9 scoreline for West Brom vs Blackburn.

What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Blackburn?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.29 for West Brom and 0.90 for Blackburn. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do West Brom and Blackburn play?

Kick-off is Saturday 17 October 2026, 14:00 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.

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18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.

Analytical model output, not betting advice. 18+ only. Bet responsibly. Gambling can be addictive.