⚽ Championship
West Brom vs Charlton Result & Prediction
AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Brom vs Charlton in the Championship. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
Result: West Brom 1-1 Charlton
West Brom vs Charlton finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.
West Brom face Charlton in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: West Brom have 3 wins from their last 5, while Charlton have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.8-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Brom vs Charlton with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.
🔥 Best Bet
🎯 Score probability
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 5.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 10.9% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 10.0% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.1% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
🧠 Model summary
Our prediction for West Brom vs Charlton comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 77% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a West Brom win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (53%).
📊 Key numbers
📈 Recent form
West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Wolves.
- LWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
- WDerby 0-1 West BromChampionship
- WWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship
Charlton come into this game with no wins and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 2 and conceding 8. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Cardiff.
- LCardiff 3-1 CharltonChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 PortsmouthChampionship
- DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
- LStoke City 4-0 CharltonChampionship
- DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship
🏥 Team news
Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.
- M. JohnstonBroken Leg
- N. ChalobahMuscle Injury
- J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
- M. GoddenMuscle Injury
- C. KelmanShoulder Injury
- B. KoumetioMuscle Injury
- W. MannionShoulder Injury
- K. RamsayAnkle Injury
- C. SichenjeKnee Injury
⚽ Match Result (1X2)
The match result market prices West Brom at 51% to win and Charlton at 23%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely outcome.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom Win | 51% | 53% | @ 1.77 |
| Draw | 26% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Charlton Win | 23% | 21% | @ 4.50 |
🔀 Double Chance
Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Brom or Draw at 1.19 (76% model).
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Brom or Draw | 76% | 79% | @ 1.19 |
| Charlton or Draw | 48% | 47% | @ 2.00 |
📈 Over / Under Goals
Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 72% | @ 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 | 68% | 73% | @ 1.27 |
| Over 2.5 | 54% | 47% | @ 1.97 |
| Under 2.5 | 46% | 53% | @ 1.78 |
| Over 3.5 | 32% | 27% | @ 3.50 |
| Under 1.5 | 23% | 28% | @ 3.35 |
🥅 Both Teams To Score
Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTTS Yes | 53% | 50% | @ 1.84 |
| BTTS No | 47% | 50% | @ 1.87 |
⚖️ Asian Handicap
The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Brom or Charlton is a clear favourite.
| Selection | Model % | Market % | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|
| Charlton +2 | 80% | 83% | 1.14 |
| West Brom +0.75 | 80% | 85% | 1.12 |
| Charlton +1.75 | 76% | 76% | 1.25 |
| West Brom +0.5 | 76% | – | 1.20 |
| Charlton +1.5 | 72% | 70% | 1.34 |
| West Brom +0.25 | 70% | 76% | 1.25 |
| Charlton +1.25 | 66% | 66% | 1.43 |
| West Brom 0 | 64% | 72% | 1.31 |
| Charlton +1 | 60% | 61% | 1.55 |
| West Brom -0.25 | 58% | 62% | 1.54 |
| Charlton +0.75 | 54% | 53% | 1.83 |
| West Brom -0.5 | 52% | 54% | 1.75 |
| Charlton +0.5 | 48% | 46% | 2.05 |
| West Brom -0.75 | 46% | 47% | 2.04 |
| Charlton +0.25 | 42% | 38% | @ 2.48 |
| West Brom -1 | 40% | 39% | 2.43 |
| Charlton 0 | 36% | 28% | @ 3.44 |
| West Brom -1.25 | 34% | 34% | 2.83 |
| Charlton -0.25 | 30% | 24% | @ 4.00 |
| West Brom -1.5 | 28% | 30% | 3.13 |
| West Brom -1.75 | 24% | 24% | 4.04 |
| Charlton -0.75 | 20% | 15% | @ 6.25 |
| West Brom -2 | 20% | 17% | @ 5.75 |
📈 How the market moved
❓ Frequently asked questions
What is the prediction for West Brom vs Charlton?
Our model's main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.29, with a 77% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 72%.
Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Charlton?
Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline for West Brom vs Charlton.
What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Charlton?
The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.84 for West Brom and 0.99 for Charlton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.
When do West Brom and Charlton play?
Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.
How are these predictions generated?
Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.
Are these football tips free?
Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.
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