⚽ Championship

West Brom vs Charlton Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Brom vs Charlton in the Championship. Kick-off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

West Brom face Charlton in the Championship, kicking off Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC. Recent form: West Brom have 3 wins from their last 5, while Charlton have 3 wins from their last 5. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 51%, projecting a 1.8-1.0 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Brom vs Charlton with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Over 1.5 @ 1.29

77%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.84 – 0.99 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.9%	5.8%	2.9%	1.0%	0.2%
1	10.9%	10.7%	5.3%	1.8%	0.4%
2	10.0%	9.9%	4.9%	1.6%	0.4%
3	6.1%	6.1%	3.0%	1.0%	0.2%
4	2.8%	2.8%	1.4%	0.5%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

West Brom winDrawCharlton win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for West Brom vs Charlton is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.29, the selection our model is most confident in at 77%. On the match result, the model rates a West Brom win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 51%. Goals lean over 2.5 (54%), both teams to score points yes (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is over 2.5 goals at odds 1.97 (+5.9% model value).

Best value

Over 2.5 at odds 1.97, 54% model probability, +5.9% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

West Brom 51%Draw 26%Charlton 23%

51%26%23%

51%

West Brom Win

54%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS yes

+5.9%

Best value: Over 2.5

📈 Recent form

West Brom

West Brom come into this game with 3 wins from their last 5, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Their biggest win in that run was 4-1 at Rotherham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Middlesbrough.

LMiddlesbrough 3-1 West BromChampionship
LNewcastle 3-2 West BromLeague Cup
WWest Brom 3-1 BurnleyChampionship
WNorwich 1-2 West BromChampionship
WRotherham 1-4 West BromLeague Cup

Charlton

Charlton come into this game with 4 wins from their last 5, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Their biggest win in that run was 3-1 at Cheltenham. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their only defeat in that run was 1-5 at Tottenham.

WCharlton 1-0 PrestonChampionship
LTottenham 5-1 CharltonLeague Cup
WWest Ham 1-2 CharltonChampionship
WCharlton 2-1 DerbyChampionship
WCheltenham 1-3 CharltonLeague Cup

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

West Brom

M. JohnstonBroken Leg

Charlton

R. BurkeNot in squad
B. KoumetioInjury
K. RamsayAnkle Injury
C. SichenjeInjury
J. EdwardsAnkle Injury
M. GoddenNot in squad
C. KelmanShoulder Injury
W. MannionNot in squad

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices West Brom at 51% to win and Charlton at 23%, with the draw at 26%. Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charlton Win	23%	@ 4.50	+3.9%
Draw	26%	@ 3.50	-9.5%
West Brom Win	51%	@ 1.77	-9.7%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is Charlton or Draw at 2.00 (48% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Charlton or Draw	48%	@ 2.00	-3.3%
West Brom or Draw	76%	@ 1.19	-9.3%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline. The lean is over 2.5 goals at 54% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Over 3.5	32%	@ 3.50	+10.2%
Over 2.5	54%	@ 1.97	+5.9%
Over 1.5	77%	@ 1.29	-0.2%
Under 3.5	68%	@ 1.27	-13.0%
Under 2.5	46%	@ 1.78	-17.7%
Under 1.5	23%	@ 3.35	-24.3%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS Yes	53%	@ 1.84	-2.3%
BTTS No	47%	@ 1.87	-12.3%

🔬 How our AI model reached this pick

🔍 How our AI model reached this pick

Model	Match result	Probability
Poisson	Home	51%
Dixon-Coles	Home	62%
GradientBoosting	Home	48%

All three of our models point the same way. This is our strongest confidence signal.

Expected goals: 1.64 for the home side, 1.03 for the away side. Most likely scorelines: 1-1 (10%), 2-1 (10%), 2-0 (9%).

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Brom vs Charlton?

Our main pick is over 1.5 goals at odds 1.29, with 77% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is over 2.5 goals at 1.97 (+5.9% value).

Who is the favourite for West Brom vs Charlton?

Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 51%. It projects an expected 1.8-1.0 scoreline for West Brom vs Charlton.

What is the predicted score for West Brom vs Charlton?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.84 for West Brom and 0.99 for Charlton. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do West Brom and Charlton play?

Kick-off is Wednesday 02 September 2026, 18:45 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.