⚽ Championship

West Brom vs QPR Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Brom vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

West Brom face QPR in the Championship, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: West Brom have 3 wins from their last 5, while QPR have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 4 meetings, West Brom won 3, 1 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.5-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Brom vs QPR with model probabilities and value against the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

78%High AI Confidence

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.46 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	8.5%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%
1	13.1%	12.5%	5.9%	1.9%	0.4%
2	9.6%	9.1%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.7%	4.4%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

West Brom winDrawQPR win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for West Brom vs QPR is generated entirely by our model ensemble: every market shows the model probability next to the bookmaker odds, so you can see exactly where the value sits. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, the selection our model is most confident in at 78%. On the match result, the model rates a West Brom win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (53%). Separately, the biggest value edge versus the bookmaker price is under 2.5 goals at odds 1.97 (+11.7% model value).

Best value

Under 2.5 at odds 1.97, 57% model probability, +11.7% value versus the bookmaker price.

📊 Key numbers

West Brom 43%Draw 34%QPR 24%

43%34%24%

43%

West Brom Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

+11.7%

Best value: Under 2.5

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 4 meetings between West Brom and QPR. Wins shown from West Brom’s perspective: West Brom 3 · 1 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2025-03-08	West Brom	1 – 0	QPR	W
2024-08-10	QPR	1 – 3	West Brom	W
2024-03-06	QPR	2 – 2	West Brom	D
2023-10-24	West Brom	2 – 0	QPR	W

📈 Recent form

West Brom

West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 1 draw from their last 5, scoring 6 and conceding 7. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. They have found the net in every one of those 5 matches. Their most recent defeat was 1-3 at Middlesbrough.

WDerby 0-1 West BromChampionship
WWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship
LMiddlesbrough 3-1 West BromChampionship
LNewcastle 3-2 West BromLeague Cup

QPR

QPR come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.

DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship
WBlackburn 1-2 QPRChampionship
DQPR 0-0 BoltonChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 6 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

West Brom

M. JohnstonBroken Leg
B. PereiraSuspended (red card)

QPR

I. ChairInjury
K. DembeleKnee Injury
B. KemperAnkle Injury
R. KoneInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices West Brom at 43% to win and QPR at 24%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Draw	34%	@ 3.60	+20.7%
QPR Win	24%	@ 3.70	-12.9%
West Brom Win	43%	@ 1.90	-18.5%

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is QPR or Draw at 1.86 (53% model).

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
QPR or Draw	53%	@ 1.86	-1.2%
West Brom or Draw	72%	@ 1.26	-8.7%

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
Under 1.5	31%	@ 3.85	+17.9%
Under 2.5	57%	@ 1.97	+11.7%
Under 3.5	78%	@ 1.35	+4.8%
Over 1.5	69%	@ 1.23	-14.7%
Over 2.5	43%	@ 1.76	-23.8%
Over 3.5	22%	@ 2.95	-34.1%

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Odds	Value
BTTS No	53%	@ 2.08	+9.7%
BTTS Yes	47%	@ 1.66	-21.5%

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Brom vs QPR?

Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with 78% model confidence. The biggest separate value edge is under 2.5 goals at 1.97 (+11.7% value).

Who is the favourite for West Brom vs QPR?

Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline for West Brom vs QPR.

What is the predicted score for West Brom vs QPR?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.46 for West Brom and 0.95 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do West Brom and QPR play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every market probability is produced by our ensemble of independent statistical and machine-learning models, then compared against bookmaker odds to find value. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.