Sat 12 Sep1-1Finished

⚽ Championship

West Brom vs QPR Result & Prediction

AI prediction, betting tips and full market odds for West Brom vs QPR in the Championship. Kick-off Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

Best bet Key numbers Form All markets FAQ

Result: West Brom 1-1 QPR

West Brom vs QPR finished 1-1. The match ended level. The pre-match model prediction and the full market probabilities we published before kick-off are shown below, unchanged.

The model's best bet on this page, under 3.5 goals at 1.35, landed.

West Brom face QPR in the upcoming Championship tips, kicking off Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC. Recent form: West Brom have 3 wins from their last 5, while QPR have 3 wins from their last 5. In their last 5 meetings, West Brom won 3, 2 drawn. Our model ensemble simulates the match thousands of times and makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 43%, projecting a 1.5-0.9 expected scoreline. Below you will find the model’s best bet, a full score probability heatmap and every betting market for West Brom vs QPR with our model probabilities next to the probabilities implied by the latest bookmaker odds.

🔥 Best Bet

Model pick

Under 3.5 @ 1.35

78%our model

🎯 Score probability

Score probability heatmap (model, exp. 1.46 – 0.95 goals)

	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.0%	8.5%	4.1%	1.3%	0.3%
1	13.1%	12.5%	5.9%	1.9%	0.4%
2	9.6%	9.1%	4.3%	1.4%	0.3%
3	4.7%	4.4%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
4	1.7%	1.6%	0.8%	0.2%	0.1%

Projected score: 1-0

West Brom winDrawQPR win

🧠 Model summary

Our prediction for West Brom vs QPR comes from our model ensemble. Every market shows the model probability next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, so you can see where they agree and where they differ. Our main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 78% model probability. On the match result, the model rates a West Brom win the most likely 1X2 outcome at 43%. Goals lean under 2.5 (57%), both teams to score points no (53%).

📊 Key numbers

West Brom 43%Draw 34%QPR 24%

43%34%24%

43%

West Brom Win

57%

Under 2.5 goals

53%

BTTS no

🔁 Head-to-head

The last 5 meetings between West Brom and QPR. Wins shown from West Brom’s perspective: West Brom 3 · 2 drawn.

Date	Home	Score	Away	Result
2026-09-12	West Brom	1 – 1	QPR	D
2025-03-08	West Brom	1 – 0	QPR	W
2024-08-10	QPR	1 – 3	West Brom	W
2024-03-06	QPR	2 – 2	West Brom	D
2023-10-24	West Brom	2 – 0	QPR	W

📈 Recent form

West Brom

West Brom come into this game with 2 wins and 2 draws from their last 5, scoring 4 and conceding 3. Their biggest win in that run was 1-0 at Derby. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at Wolves.

LWolves 1-0 West BromChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
WDerby 0-1 West BromChampionship
WWest Brom 1-0 WatfordChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 CharltonChampionship

QPR

QPR come into this game with 1 win and 3 draws from their last 5, scoring 5 and conceding 5. They are unbeaten in 3. Their biggest win in that run was 2-1 at home to Cardiff. Their only defeat in that run was 0-1 at home to Middlesbrough.

DQPR 2-2 PrestonChampionship
DWest Brom 1-1 QPRChampionship
DCharlton 0-0 QPRChampionship
LQPR 0-1 MiddlesbroughChampionship
WQPR 2-1 CardiffChampionship

🏥 Team news

Reported absentees for this fixture: 9 players listed as injured, suspended or out of the squad.

West Brom

N. GalvesKnee Injury
M. JohnstonBroken Leg
B. PereiraSuspended (red card)

QPR

I. ChairInjury
K. DembeleKnee Injury
J. DunneKnee Injury
B. KemperAnkle Injury
R. KoneInjury
T. LampteyInjury

⚽ Match Result (1X2)

The match result market prices West Brom at 43% to win and QPR at 24%, with the draw at 34%. Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely outcome.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Brom Win	43%	49%	@ 1.90
Draw	34%	26%	@ 3.60
QPR Win	24%	25%	@ 3.70

🔀 Double Chance

Double chance covers two of the three results, lowering the odds in exchange for a wider safety net. The shortest price here is West Brom or Draw at 1.26 (72% model).

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Brom or Draw	72%	75%	@ 1.26
QPR or Draw	53%	51%	@ 1.86

📈 Over / Under Goals

Total goals are modelled from an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline. The lean is under 2.5 goals at 57% probability.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
Under 3.5	78%	69%	@ 1.35
Over 1.5	69%	76%	@ 1.23
Under 2.5	57%	47%	@ 1.97
Over 2.5	43%	53%	@ 1.76
Under 1.5	31%	24%	@ 3.85
Over 3.5	22%	31%	@ 2.95

🥅 Both Teams To Score

Both Teams To Score asks whether each side finds the net at least once. Our model leans towards both teams not to score at 53%.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
BTTS No	53%	44%	@ 2.08
BTTS Yes	47%	56%	@ 1.66

⚖️ Asian Handicap

The Asian handicap removes the draw by giving one side a goals head-start, useful when West Brom or QPR is a clear favourite.

Selection	Model %	Market %	Odds
West Brom +1.5	89%	86%	1.10
West Brom +1.25	85%	86%	1.10
West Brom +1	81%	85%	1.12
QPR +1.75	80%	81%	1.17
West Brom +0.75	77%	78%	1.22
QPR +1.5	76%	75%	1.25
West Brom +0.5	72%	72%	1.31
QPR +1.25	71%	73%	1.30
West Brom +0.25	66%	68%	1.41
QPR +1	65%	70%	1.36
West Brom 0	60%	62%	1.53
QPR +0.75	59%	61%	1.55
West Brom -0.25	53%	52%	1.86
QPR +0.5	53%	55%	1.73
West Brom -0.5	47%	45%	2.13
QPR +0.25	47%	48%	2.00
West Brom -0.75	41%	39%	@ 2.46
QPR 0	40%	38%	@ 2.51
West Brom -1	35%	30%	@ 3.16
QPR -0.25	34%	32%	@ 3.00
West Brom -1.25	29%	27%	@ 3.54
QPR -0.5	28%	28%	3.44
West Brom -1.5	24%	25%	3.80
QPR -0.75	23%	22%	@ 4.38
West Brom -1.75	20%	19%	@ 5.00
QPR -1	19%	15%	@ 6.40
QPR -1.25	15%	14%	@ 6.80
QPR -1.5	11%	14%	6.80

📈 How the market moved

West Brom 44%Draw 28%QPR 28%

Probability implied by the bookmaker odds with the margin removed, averaged per day.

❓ Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for West Brom vs QPR?

Our model's main pick is under 3.5 goals at odds 1.35, with a 78% model probability. The bookmaker odds imply about 69%.

Who is the favourite for West Brom vs QPR?

Our model makes a West Brom win the most likely result at 43%. It projects an expected 1.5-0.9 scoreline for West Brom vs QPR.

What is the predicted score for West Brom vs QPR?

The most likely scoreline from our model is around 1-0, based on expected goals of 1.46 for West Brom and 0.95 for QPR. The full score probability grid is shown in the heatmap above.

When do West Brom and QPR play?

Kick-off is Saturday 12 September 2026, 11:30 UTC.

How are these predictions generated?

Every model probability comes from our ensemble of statistical and machine-learning models. We show it next to the probability implied by the bookmaker odds, because in our own testing the market is a hard benchmark to beat. No human opinion is involved.

Are these football tips free?

Yes, completely free. We publish new picks every morning across all our channels.